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Allsvenskan
Referee: G Maqedonci
Elfsborg
U T T S S
3–0
Full-time
Sirius
T T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Elfsborg Sirius
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
2,5
1,8
Scored
1,3
0,7
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,5
This season — Allsvenskan · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 32%
32%
32%
Points per game
1,4
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
50%
45%
Both score Ø 50%
64%
36%
Average goals
3,1
2,5
Scored
1,8
1,0
Conceded
1,4
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,4
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

35% Possession 65%
15 Shots 10
7 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
5 Corners 6
1 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Elfsborg 9. · Sirius 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Hacken 23 13 8 2 +22 47
2 Djurgarden 22 13 6 3 +27 45
3 Hammarby 23 12 6 5 +23 42
4 AIK 22 11 6 5 +8 39
5 Kalmar 23 11 5 7 +7 38
6 Malmo FF 22 11 4 7 +9 37
7 Goteborg 22 11 3 8 +10 36
8 Mjallby 22 8 8 6 +0 32
9 Elfsborg 22 7 9 6 +9 30
10 Varnamo 23 7 7 9 -10 28
11 Norrkoping 23 6 7 10 -3 25
12 Sirius 22 7 4 11 -10 25
13 Varberg 23 6 6 11 -16 24
14 Helsingborg 22 4 5 13 -15 17
15 Degerfors 22 4 5 13 -23 17
16 Sundsvall 22 3 1 18 -38 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Elfsborg Sirius
0–1 J. Voelkerling Persson
own goal
25′
S. Guðjohnsen 🔁
↦ P. Frick
38′
39′
🟨 Filip Rogić
Half-time 1–1
1–1 A. Bernhardsson
M. Baidoo
46′
Noah Söderberg 🟨
50′
61′
🔁 E. Sylisufaj
↦ Ó. Ómarsson
61′
🔁 A. Bjarnason
↦ D. Stensson
J. Ondrejka 🔁
↦ A. Bernhardsson
67′
2–1 S. Guðjohnsen
R. Alm
75′
J. Okkels 🔁
↦ R. Alm
81′
81′
🔁 A. Hellborg
↦ D. Widgren
81′
🔁 K. Larson
↦ Y. Sugita
91′
🟨 Adam Hellborg
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Elfsborg

4-3-3
30 H. Valdimarsson G
24 J. Larsson D
8 S. Holmén D
20 S. Strand D
15 L. Väisänen D
6 A. Rømer M
13 M. Baidoo M
28 N. Söderberg M
17 P. Frick F
21 R. Alm F
12 A. Bernhardsson F
Bench (7)
11 S. Guðjohnsen
7 J. Ondrejka
19 J. Okkels
14 O. Aga
5 M. Jarjué
18 A. Qasem
31 T. Rönning

Coach: J. Thelin

Sirius

3-4-3
1 D. Mitov Nilsson G
21 D. Widgren D
6 M. Mathisen D
26 J. Voelkerling Persson D
5 J. Roche M
7 F. Rogić F
10 Y. Sugita F
18 D. Stensson M
23 T. Matthews M
9 C. Kouakou F
12 Ó. Ómarsson M
Bench (7)
29 E. Sylisufaj
14 A. Bjarnason
2 A. Hellborg
3 K. Larson
4 Kristopher Da Graca
34 T. Vaiho
32 S. Wikman

Coach: D. Bäckström

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

G Maqedonci · 83 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.