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Serie A
Referee: P Valeri
Udinese
U S S S S
3–1
Full-time
Inter
S T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Udinese Inter
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
2,0
1,5
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,0
This season — Serie A · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,2
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,0
3,3
Scored
2,0
2,0
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,7
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

44% Possession 56%
20 Shots 14
6 Shots on target 3
9 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 4
1 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Udinese 4. · Inter 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Napoli 6 4 2 0 +9 14
2 Atalanta 6 4 2 0 +7 14
3 Milan 6 4 2 0 +6 14
4 Udinese 6 4 1 1 +6 13
5 Roma 6 4 1 1 +2 13
6 Inter 6 4 0 2 +4 12
7 Lazio 6 3 2 1 +4 11
8 Juventus 6 2 4 0 +5 10
9 Torino 7 3 1 3 -1 10
10 Sassuolo 7 2 3 2 -3 9
11 Spezia 7 2 2 3 -4 8
12 Salernitana 7 1 4 2 +2 7
13 Empoli 7 1 4 2 -1 7
14 Fiorentina 6 1 3 2 -1 6
15 Lecce 7 1 3 3 -2 6
16 Bologna 7 1 3 3 -3 6
17 Verona 6 1 2 3 -5 5
18 Cremonese 6 0 2 4 -5 2
19 Sampdoria 7 0 2 5 -9 2
20 Monza 6 0 1 5 -11 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Udinese Inter
5′
N. Barella 0–1
13′
🟨 Alessandro Bastoni
21′
🟨 Henrikh Mkhitaryan
0–2 M. Škriniar
own goal
22′
30′
🔁 R. Gagliardini
↦ H. Mkhitaryan
31′
🔁 F. Dimarco
↦ A. Bastoni
Roberto Pereyra 🟨
39′
Half-time 0–2
46′
🟨 Matteo Darmian
Destiny Udogie 🟨
51′
Rodrigo Becão 🟨
56′
57′
🟨 Marcelo Brozović
L. Samardžić 🔁
↦ J. Makengo
61′
67′
🔁 J. Correa
↦ E. Džeko
67′
🔁 D. D'Ambrosio
↦ M. Darmian
I. Success 🔁
↦ Beto
69′
K. Ehizibue 🔁
↦ R. Pereyra
69′
T. Arslan 🔁
↦ S. Lovrić
79′
79′
🔁 S. de Vrij
↦ F. Acerbi
E. Ebosse 🔁
↦ D. Udogie
80′
1–2 J. Bijol
Deulofeu
84′
2–2 T. Arslan
Deulofeu
93′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Udinese

3-5-2
1 M. Silvestri G
50 Rodrigo Becão D
29 J. Bijol D
18 N. Pérez D
37 R. Pereyra M
4 S. Lovrić M
11 Walace M
6 J. Makengo M
13 D. Udogie M
9 Beto F
10 Deulofeu F
Bench (14)
24 L. Samardžić
7 I. Success
19 K. Ehizibue
5 T. Arslan
23 E. Ebosse
14 J. Abankwah
99 E. Piana
8 M. Jajalo
20 D. Padelli
80 S. Pafundi
67 A. Guessand
30 I. Nestorovski
17 B. Nuytinck
2 F. Ebosele

Coach: A. Sottil

Inter

3-5-2
1 S. Handanovič G
37 M. Škriniar D
15 F. Acerbi D
95 A. Bastoni D
2 D. Dumfries M
23 N. Barella M
77 M. Brozović M
22 H. Mkhitaryan M
36 M. Darmian M
9 E. Džeko F
10 Lautaro Martínez F
Bench (12)
5 R. Gagliardini
32 F. Dimarco
11 J. Correa
33 D. D'Ambrosio
6 S. de Vrij
24 A. Onana
46 M. Zanotti
45 V. Carboni
14 K. Asllani
12 R. Bellanova
8 R. Gosens
21 A. Cordaz

Coach: S. Inzaghi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,83
U
3,80
B
1,92
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,68
U2,5
2,20
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

P Valeri · 55 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
28,6 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.