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Pro League
Referee: N Verboomen
Anderlecht
T U S T U
4–1
Full-time
Kortrijk
T T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Anderlecht Kortrijk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,8
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,0
2,2
Scored
0,8
0,7
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,8
This season — Pro League · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 39%
44%
33%
Points per game
1,4
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 45%
56%
33%
Average goals
2,8
1,9
Scored
1,7
0,7
Conceded
1,1
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,6
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

52% Possession 48%
12 Shots 8
5 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
9 Corners 6
1 Offside 1
17 Free kicks against 8
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Anderlecht 7. · Kortrijk 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Antwerp 9 9 0 0 +14 27
2 Genk 8 7 1 0 +17 22
3 Club Brugge 9 6 1 2 +10 19
4 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 9 5 2 2 +3 17
5 St. Gilloise 7 5 1 1 +3 16
6 Charleroi 10 5 0 5 +0 15
7 Anderlecht 9 4 1 4 +5 13
8 St Truiden 9 3 4 2 +2 13
9 Standard 6 4 0 2 +2 12
10 Mechelen 10 3 2 5 +0 11
11 Gent 7 3 1 3 +2 10
12 Oostende 9 3 1 5 -3 10
13 Kortrijk 9 3 1 5 -5 10
14 Waregem 10 2 2 6 -9 8
15 Westerlo 6 2 0 4 -5 6
16 Cercle Brugge 7 1 3 3 -6 6
17 Eupen 10 2 0 8 -10 6
18 Seraing 9 2 0 7 -10 6
19 Seraing United 9 2 0 7 -10 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Anderlecht Kortrijk
J. Duranville 🔁
↦ F. Amuzu
18′
1–0 Y. Verschaeren
A. Murillo
27′
29′
🟨 Dorian Dessoleil
Half-time 1–0
53′
🟨 Kevin Vandendriessche
58′
🔁 H. Keïta
↦ K. Vandendriessche
58′
🔁 F. Selemani
↦ B. Messaoudi
2–0 M. Ashimeru
A. Murillo
59′
61′
F. Selemani 2–1
3–1 J. Vertonghen
L. Refaelov
64′
Kristian Arnstad 🟨
65′
66′
🔁 F. Avenatti
↦ D. Dessoleil
Lior Refaelov ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
70′
4–1 L. Refaelov
75′
S. Esposito 🔁
↦ L. Refaelov
76′
M. Kana 🔁
↦ K. Arnstad
76′
77′
🔁 D. Mbayo
↦ S. Lončar
77′
🔁 N. Mehssatou
↦ O. Sych
K. Sardella 🔁
↦ Z. Debast
82′
H. Delcroix 🔁
↦ Fábio Silva
82′
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

Anderlecht

4-4-2
30 H. Van Crombrugge G
62 A. Murillo D
56 Z. Debast D
4 W. Hoedt D
14 J. Vertonghen D
61 K. Arnstad
18 M. Ashimeru M
10 Y. Verschaeren M
7 F. Amuzu M
99 Fábio Silva F
11 L. Refaelov F
Bench (7)
59 J. Duranville
70 S. Esposito
55 M. Kana
54 K. Sardella
3 H. Delcroix
16 B. Verbruggen
29 M. Stroeykens

Coach: F. Mazzù

Kortrijk

3-5-2
31 M. Ilić G
4 T. Watanabe D
24 D. Dessoleil D
66 A. Radovanović D
6 O. Sych M
26 K. Vandendriessche M
32 S. Tanaka M
33 S. Lončar M
30 K. D'Haene M
22 D. Lamkel Zé F
9 B. Messaoudi F
Bench (7)
12 H. Keïta
10 F. Selemani
20 F. Avenatti
7 D. Mbayo
25 N. Mehssatou
1 T. Vandenberghe
77 D. Henen

Coach: A. Čustović

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,34
U
5,12
B
8,29
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,61
U2,5
2,27
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

N Verboomen · 117 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.