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Primeira Liga
Referee: André Narciso
Sp Braga
S S S S S
2–0
Full-time
Vizela
T U U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sp Braga Vizela
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
100%
17%
Points per game
3,0
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
3,3
2,0
Scored
3,0
0,8
Conceded
0,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
+2,7
-0,3
This season — Primeira Liga · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
83%
17%
Points per game
2,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
4,3
2,0
Scored
3,5
0,8
Conceded
0,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
+2,7
-0,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

61% Possession 39%
22 Shots 17
10 Shots on target 6
7 Blocked shots 5
6 Goalkeeper saves 8
8 Corners 4
4 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 14
6 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sp Braga 2. · Vizela 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Benfica 7 7 0 0 +16 21
2 Sp Braga 6 5 1 0 +16 16
3 Porto 7 5 1 1 +11 16
4 Portimonense 7 5 0 2 +2 15
5 Boavista 7 5 0 2 +0 15
6 Casa Pia 7 4 2 1 +4 14
7 Estoril 7 3 2 2 +3 11
8 Sp Lisbon 7 3 1 3 +3 10
9 Guimaraes 7 3 1 3 +0 10
10 Gil Vicente 7 2 3 2 -1 9
11 Chaves 7 2 2 3 -2 8
12 Arouca 7 2 2 3 -9 8
13 Rio Ave 7 1 3 3 -3 6
14 Vizela 6 1 2 3 -2 5
15 Santa Clara 7 1 2 4 -3 5
16 Famalicao 7 1 1 5 -7 4
17 Pacos Ferreira 7 0 1 6 -10 1
18 Maritimo 7 0 0 7 -18 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sp Braga Vizela
7′
🟨 Raphael Guzzo
André Horta 🟨
11′
13′
🟨 Anderson
Uroš Račić 🟨
24′
31′
🔁 Samú
↦ Raphael Guzzo
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 Nuno Moreira
↦ K. Zohi
46′
🔁 Carlos Muñoz
↦ Igor Julião
Álvaro Djaló 🔁
↦ Iuri Medeiros
60′
Castro 🔁
↦ U. Račić
60′
Vítinha 🔁
↦ Abel Ruiz
60′
71′
🟨 Carlos Isaac
D. Lainez 🔁
↦ André Horta
71′
Simon Banza 🟨
72′
80′
🔁 A. Alvarado
↦ Kiko Bondoso
1–0 Vítinha
D. Lainez
83′
J. Gorby 🔁
↦ S. Banza
84′
86′
🔁 A. Schmidt
↦ Claudemir
88′
🟨 Milutin Osmajić
Álvaro Djaló 🟨
89′
Matheus 🟨
89′
Diego Lainez 🟨
91′
2–0 Ricardo Horta
Vítinha
95′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Sp Braga

4-4-2
1 Matheus G
70 Fabiano D
3 Vítor Tormena D
15 Paulo Oliveira D
6 Nuno Sequeira D
45 Iuri Medeiros M
19 U. Račić M
10 André Horta M
21 Ricardo Horta M
23 S. Banza F
9 Abel Ruiz F
Bench (9)
14 Álvaro Djaló
88 Castro
99 Vítinha
18 D. Lainez
29 J. Gorby
24 Bruno Rodrigues
12 Tiago Sá
26 C. Borja
7 Rodrigo Gomes

Coach: Artur Jorge

Vizela

4-3-3
97 F. Buntić G
14 Igor Julião D
5 Anderson D
4 Ivanildo Fernandes D
24 Kiki D
8 Raphael Guzzo M
6 Claudemir M
19 A. Méndez M
10 Kiko Bondoso F
9 M. Osmajić F
22 K. Zohi F
Bench (9)
20 Samú
79 Nuno Moreira
7 Carlos Muñoz
70 A. Alvarado
11 A. Schmidt
17 Diego Rosa
99 F. Cann
13 Luiz Felipe
25 M. Aidara

Coach: Álvaro Pacheco

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,32
U
5,27
B
8,83
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,61
U2,5 ✓
2,30
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

André Narciso · 95 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
30,6 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.