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Eliteserien

Referee: K Steen

Molde

S T T S S

4–1

Full-time

Sarpsborg 08

T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Molde Sarpsborg 08

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

2,0

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,8

Scored

2,0

0,5

Conceded

0,8

2,3

Goal diff per game

+1,2

-1,8

This season — Eliteserien · 19/19 matches

Win Ø 53%

74%

32%

Points per game

2,4

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

63%

Both score Ø 61%

58%

63%

Average goals

2,9

3,6

Scored

2,1

1,7

Conceded

0,9

1,9

Goal diff per game

+1,2

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–1

60% Possession 40%

23 Shots 12

10 Shots on target 2

2 Blocked shots 5

1 Goalkeeper saves 6

5 Corners 3

2 Offside 1

12 Free kicks against 9

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Molde 1. · Sarpsborg 08 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Molde	19	14	3	2	+22	45
2	Bodo/Glimt	20	12	5	3	+30	41
3	Lillestrom	19	12	4	3	+19	40
4	Rosenborg	19	10	7	2	+15	37
5	Valerenga	19	9	3	7	+4	30
6	Viking	18	8	5	5	+7	29
7	Stromsgodset	19	8	5	6	+4	29
8	Odd	19	7	2	10	-13	23
9	Haugesund	19	6	4	9	-2	22
10	Sandefjord	20	6	4	10	-11	22
11	Tromso	18	4	9	5	-7	21
12	Aalesund	19	5	6	8	-9	21
13	Ham-Kam	19	3	11	5	-1	20
14	Sarpsborg 08	19	6	1	12	-4	19
15	Jerv	20	4	2	14	-32	14
16	Kristiansund	18	1	3	14	-22	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rosenborg	9	7	2	0	+12	23
2	Lillestrom	9	7	1	1	+14	22
3	Molde	10	7	1	2	+13	22
4	Bodo/Glimt	10	5	5	0	+21	20
5	Stromsgodset	10	6	2	2	+9	20
6	Valerenga	9	6	1	2	+7	19
7	Viking	9	5	3	1	+10	18
8	Tromso	8	4	3	1	+3	15
9	Haugesund	10	4	2	4	+1	14
10	Jerv	11	4	1	6	-9	13
11	Aalesund	9	3	3	3	-1	12
12	Odd	10	4	0	6	-4	12
13	Ham-Kam	10	2	5	3	+0	11
14	Sarpsborg 08	10	3	1	6	-3	10
15	Sandefjord	10	1	4	5	-8	7
16	Kristiansund	8	0	3	5	-9	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Molde	9	7	2	0	+9	23
2	Bodo/Glimt	10	7	0	3	+9	21
3	Lillestrom	10	5	3	2	+5	18
4	Sandefjord	10	5	0	5	-3	15
5	Rosenborg	10	3	5	2	+3	14
6	Viking	9	3	2	4	-3	11
7	Valerenga	10	3	2	5	-3	11
8	Odd	9	3	2	4	-9	11
9	Sarpsborg 08	9	3	0	6	-1	9
10	Ham-Kam	9	1	6	2	-1	9
11	Stromsgodset	9	2	3	4	-5	9
12	Aalesund	10	2	3	5	-8	9
13	Haugesund	9	2	2	5	-3	8
14	Tromso	10	0	6	4	-10	6
15	Kristiansund	10	1	0	9	-13	3
16	Jerv	9	0	1	8	-23	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.