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Eliteserien
Referee: Tore Hansen
Molde
S S U S S
2–1
Full-time
Aalesund
S T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Molde Aalesund
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
83%
17%
Points per game
2,7
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
4,0
3,0
Scored
2,8
0,5
Conceded
1,2
2,5
Goal diff per game
+1,7
-2,0
This season — Eliteserien · 26/27 matches
Win Ø 36%
65%
7%
Points per game
2,0
0,4
Over 2.5 Ø 81%
88%
74%
Both score Ø 68%
69%
67%
Average goals
3,7
3,9
Scored
2,5
1,0
Conceded
1,2
2,8
Goal diff per game
+1,3
-1,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

55% Possession 45%
20 Shots 6
8 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 6
7 Corners 3
1 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 13
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Molde 2. · Aalesund 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bodo/Glimt 28 24 3 1 +64 75
2 Molde 26 17 2 7 +34 53
3 Valerenga 27 13 9 5 +13 48
4 Rosenborg 26 13 6 7 +13 45
5 Kristiansund 27 11 11 5 +13 44
6 Viking 28 12 7 9 +5 43
7 Odd 25 13 3 9 +8 42
8 Haugesund 28 10 6 12 -10 36
9 Stabaek 28 8 11 9 -8 35
10 Brann 28 8 8 12 -10 32
11 Sandefjord 27 9 5 13 -12 32
12 Sarpsborg 08 28 8 7 13 -5 31
13 Start 28 6 8 14 -19 26
14 Stromsgodset 27 5 10 12 -17 25
15 Mjondalen 28 7 3 18 -21 24
16 Aalesund 27 2 5 20 -48 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Molde Aalesund
12′
🟨 Sigurd Haugen
1–0 M. Eikrem
L. James
31′
Half-time 1–0
47′
🔁 E. Mwimba
↦ A. Lie
M. Bolly 🔁
↦ M. Eikrem
65′
T. Christensen 🔁
↦ S. Gregersen
65′
67′
🔁 I. Uzochukwu
↦ P. Larsen
68′
🔁 S. Sno
↦ S. Nordli
69′
🟨 Nenass
O. Omoijuanfo 🔁
↦ E. Hestad
75′
2–0 L. James
O. Brynhildsen
79′
E. Knudtzon 🔁
↦ O. Brynhildsen
83′
87′
🔁 M. Karlsbakk
↦ N. Castro
94′
S. Haugen 2–1
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Molde

4-2-3-1
1 A. Linde G
6 S. Gregersen D
3 B. Risa D
5 S. Sinyan D
27 M. Pedersen D
7 M. Eikrem M
16 E. Hussain M
19 E. Hestad M
11 M. Ellingsen M
22 O. Brynhildsen M
10 L. James F
Bench (8)
30 M. Bolly
15 T. Christensen
99 O. Omoijuanfo
14 E. Knudtzon
20 H. Wingo
12 Á. Craninx
9 M. Moström
17 F. Aursnes

Coach: E. Moe

Aalesund

4-5-1
1 A. Lie G
15 S. Sæthre D
18 D. Ólafsson D
6 D. Klinkenberg D
21 K. Jørgensen D
20 P. Bizoza M
19 P. Larsen M
11 S. Nordli M
7 Nenass M
22 S. Haugen F
9 N. Castro M
Bench (9)
24 E. Mwimba
30 I. Uzochukwu
2 S. Sno
41 M. Karlsbakk
16 J. Hatlehol
36 V. Fiskerstrand
17 M. Diaw
32 K. Ødven
27 S. Tafjord

Coach: L. Nilsen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Tore Hansen · 217 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.