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Eliteserien
Referee: Svein Oddvar Moen
Aalesund
U T U S T
0–3
Full-time
Molde
S T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aalesund Molde
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,3
3,0
Scored
1,5
2,0
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+1,0
This season — Eliteserien · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 44%
40%
47%
Points per game
1,5
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
40%
67%
Both score Ø 60%
60%
60%
Average goals
2,5
2,9
Scored
1,4
1,7
Conceded
1,1
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

60% Possession 40%
7 Shots 9
1 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
7 Corners 2
2 Offside 0
6 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Aalesund 5. · Molde 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rosenborg 16 9 5 2 +17 32
2 Brann 15 7 6 2 +19 27
3 Sarpsborg 08 15 7 5 3 +10 26
4 Molde 15 7 3 5 +6 24
5 Aalesund 15 6 4 5 +5 22
6 Valerenga 15 6 4 5 +1 22
7 Haugesund 15 6 4 5 +1 22
8 Odd 15 6 4 5 -4 22
9 Stabaek 15 6 3 6 -6 21
10 Lillestrom 15 6 2 7 -1 20
11 Sogndal 15 5 4 6 -3 19
12 Sandefjord 16 5 3 8 -10 18
13 Kristiansund 15 4 5 6 -4 17
14 Stromsgodset 15 3 6 6 -7 15
15 Tromso 15 3 5 7 -11 14
16 Viking 15 2 3 10 -13 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Aalesund Molde
22′
B. Sigurðarson 0–1
C. Remmer
Half-time 0–1
Andreas Lie 🟨
57′
57′
B. Sigurðarson 0–2
S. Fet 🔁
↦ V. Hoff
73′
75′
F. Brustad 0–3
E. Hestad
76′
🔁 S. Svendsen
↦ I. Ssewankambo
78′
🔁 O. Rindarøy
↦ R. Gabrielsen
85′
🔁 E. Håland
↦ F. Brustad
M. Karlsbakk 🔁
↦ A. Þrándarson
87′
O. Lie 🔁
↦ E. Gyasi
87′
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Aalesund

4-4-2
1 A. Lie G
2 M. Kirkeskov D
6 K. Ramsteijn D
22 A. Arnarson D
3 D. Grétarsson D
8 F. Carlsen M
14 E. Gyasi M
11 A. Þrándarson M
18 V. Hoff M
30 M. Abdellaoue F
10 L. Veldwijk F
Bench (7)
17 S. Fet
41 M. Karlsbakk
5 O. Lie
15 Marlinho
33 A. Waagan
32 S. Sødergren
38 J. Hatlehol

Coach: T. Fredriksen

Molde

3-4-3
1 A. Linde G
5 J. Toivio D
4 R. Gabrielsen D
22 C. Remmer D
2 I. Ssewankambo M
8 B. Sarr D
19 E. Hestad M
17 F. Aursnes M
6 S. Gregersen D
10 B. Sigurðarson F
33 F. Brustad F
Bench (7)
11 S. Svendsen
3 O. Rindarøy
30 E. Håland
34 Neydson
21 T. Svendsen
18 A. Diop
14 P. Strand

Coach: O. Solskjær

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Svein Oddvar Moen · 86 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
20,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.