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2. Bundesliga
Referee: T Reichel
Heidenheim
S U U S U
2–2
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Heidenheim Kaiserslautern
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,2
3,7
Scored
1,3
2,0
Conceded
0,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,3
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 44%
50%
38%
Points per game
1,9
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
50%
75%
Both score Ø 57%
38%
75%
Average goals
2,1
3,6
Scored
1,5
2,0
Conceded
0,6
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,9
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

66% Possession 34%
12 Shots 9
6 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 3
0 Offside 2
4 Free kicks against 8
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Heidenheim 5. · Kaiserslautern 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Hamburg 9 7 0 2 +9 21
2 Paderborn 8 6 1 1 +16 19
3 Darmstadt 9 5 3 1 +7 18
4 Hannover 9 5 2 2 +5 17
5 Heidenheim 8 4 3 1 +7 15
6 Fortuna Dusseldorf 9 4 2 3 +4 14
7 Kaiserslautern 8 3 4 1 +3 13
8 Holstein Kiel 9 3 3 3 -3 12
9 Hansa Rostock 9 4 0 5 -4 12
10 Karlsruhe 9 3 2 4 +1 11
11 St Pauli 8 2 4 2 +1 10
12 Nurnberg 9 3 1 5 -6 10
13 Bielefeld 9 2 2 5 -3 8
14 Sandhausen 9 2 2 5 -3 8
15 Braunschweig 9 2 2 5 -9 8
16 Regensburg 8 2 2 4 -9 8
17 Magdeburg 9 2 1 6 -10 7
18 Greuther Furth 8 0 4 4 -6 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Heidenheim Kaiserslautern
1–0 J. Beste
D. Thomalla
17′
20′
T. Boyd 1–1
K. Kraus
41′
🟥 Andreas Luthe
41′
ℹ️ Andreas Luthe
VAR: Card upgrade
43′
🔁 A. Spahić
↦ P. Klement
2–1 M. Busch
44′
Half-time 2–2
60′
T. Boyd 2–2
M. Ritter
Marnon Busch 🟨
61′
C. Kühlwetter 🔁
↦ F. Pick
66′
D. Burnić 🔁
↦ D. Thomalla
66′
67′
🟨 Julian Niehues
73′
🔁 H. Çiftçi
↦ J. Niehues
M. Rittmüller 🔁
↦ A. Beck
75′
S. Schimmer 🔁
↦ L. Maloney
81′
87′
🔁 L. Lobinger
↦ T. Boyd
88′
🔁 P. Hercher
↦ J. Zimmer
97′
🟨 Erik Durm
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Heidenheim

4-1-4-1
1 K. Müller G
2 M. Busch D
6 P. Mainka D
33 L. Maloney D
19 J. Föhrenbach D
3 J. Schöppner M
17 F. Pick M
11 D. Thomalla M
21 A. Beck M
37 J. Beste M
10 T. Kleindienst F
Bench (9)
24 C. Kühlwetter
20 D. Burnić
18 M. Rittmüller
9 S. Schimmer
26 T. Köther
22 V. Eicher
4 T. Siersleben
8 A. Geipl
30 N. Theuerkauf

Coach: F. Schmidt

Kaiserslautern

4-2-3-1
1 A. Luthe G
37 E. Durm D
2 B. Tomiak D
5 K. Kraus D
21 H. Zuck D
7 M. Ritter M
16 J. Niehues M
8 J. Zimmer M
10 P. Klement M
11 K. Redondo M
13 T. Boyd F
Bench (9)
30 A. Spahić
6 H. Çiftçi
27 L. Lobinger
23 P. Hercher
32 R. Bormuth
20 D. Schad
22 L. Bünning
19 D. Hanslik
28 M. Wunderlich

Coach: D. Schuster

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,95
U ✓
3,58
B
3,73
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,82
U2,5
1,97
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

T Reichel · 78 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.