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Eliteserien
Referee: Tore Hansen
Tromso
U U S U T
4–3
Full-time
Rosenborg
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tromso Rosenborg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,5
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
1,8
3,5
Scored
1,2
2,5
Conceded
0,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,5
This season — Eliteserien · 18/19 matches
Win Ø 38%
22%
53%
Points per game
1,2
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
68%
Both score Ø 68%
72%
63%
Average goals
2,9
3,2
Scored
1,3
2,0
Conceded
1,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–3

61% Possession 39%
16 Shots 10
8 Shots on target 5
6 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 4
0 Offside 1
7 Free kicks against 8
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Tromso 13. · Rosenborg 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Molde 20 15 3 2 +25 48
2 Bodo/Glimt 20 12 5 3 +30 41
3 Lillestrom 20 12 5 3 +19 41
4 Rosenborg 19 10 7 2 +15 37
5 Valerenga 20 10 3 7 +5 33
6 Viking 19 8 5 6 +6 29
7 Stromsgodset 19 8 5 6 +4 29
8 Odd 20 7 3 10 -13 24
9 Ham-Kam 20 4 11 5 +0 23
10 Haugesund 20 6 4 10 -3 22
11 Aalesund 20 5 7 8 -9 22
12 Sandefjord 20 6 4 10 -11 22
13 Tromso 18 4 9 5 -7 21
14 Sarpsborg 08 20 6 1 13 -7 19
15 Jerv 20 4 2 14 -32 14
16 Kristiansund 19 1 4 14 -22 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Tromso Rosenborg
1–0 A. Mikkelsen
E. Kitolano
14′
2–0 W. Kamanzi
E. Kitolano
16′
23′
K. Ingason 2–1
C. Tengstedt
28′
K. Ingason 2–2
August Mikkelsen 🟨
31′
L. Nilsen 🔁
↦ C. Øyvann
33′
35′
S. Rogers 2–3
C. Holse
Half-time 3–3
3–3 R. Jenssen
48′
57′
🔁 R. Giampaoli
↦ T. Børkeeiet
66′
🔁 L. Cornic
↦ E. Reitan
66′
🔁 A. Pereira
↦ E. Tagseth
Ruben Jenssen 🟨
70′
75′
🔁 N. Holm
↦ K. Ingason
Eric Kitolano 🟨
83′
84′
🟨 Olaus Jair Skarsem
F. Winther 🔁
↦ S. Opsahl
85′
J. Tuominen 🔁
↦ L. Nordås
85′
4–3 A. Mikkelsen
A. Jenssen
92′
I. Vik 🔁
↦ E. Kitolano
95′
Full-time 4–3

Line-ups

Tromso

3-5-2
1 J. Haugaard G
28 C. Psyché D
5 A. Jenssen D
19 N. Vesterlund M
20 C. Øyvann D
14 W. Kamanzi M
11 R. Jenssen M
17 E. Kitolano M
22 S. Opsahl M
10 A. Mikkelsen F
9 L. Nordås F
Bench (9)
25 L. Nilsen
7 F. Winther
15 J. Tuominen
26 I. Vik
21 T. Hafstad
23 R. Norheim
18 E. Aarflot
12 S. Thomas
24 D. Bassi

Coach: G. Helstrup

Rosenborg

3-5-2
1 A. Hansen G
2 E. Reitan M
15 S. Rogers D
7 M. Henriksen D
21 O. Skarsem M
11 V. Jensen M
8 T. Børkeeiet D
20 E. Tagseth M
10 C. Holse M
17 C. Tengstedt F
80 K. Ingason F
Bench (7)
18 R. Giampaoli
32 L. Cornic
19 A. Pereira
9 N. Holm
24 S. Tangvik
38 M. Ceide
39 M. Broholm

Coach: K. Rekdal

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Tore Hansen · 217 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.