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Eliteserien
Referee: K Steen
Jerv
T T T T T
1–0
Full-time
Lillestrom
S S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Jerv Lillestrom
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
100%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
4,8
3,0
Scored
1,3
1,7
Conceded
3,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-2,2
+0,3
This season — Eliteserien · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 42%
18%
65%
Points per game
0,6
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
59%
53%
Both score Ø 50%
47%
53%
Average goals
3,0
2,8
Scored
0,8
1,9
Conceded
2,2
0,9
Goal diff per game
-1,5
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

46% Possession 54%
18 Shots 17
8 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 5
4 Goalkeeper saves 7
4 Corners 7
2 Offside 6
11 Free kicks against 10
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Jerv 15. · Lillestrom 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Molde 18 13 3 2 +21 42
2 Bodo/Glimt 18 11 4 3 +28 37
3 Lillestrom 17 11 4 2 +17 37
4 Rosenborg 18 9 7 2 +14 34
5 Viking 18 8 5 5 +7 29
6 Valerenga 17 8 2 7 +3 26
7 Stromsgodset 17 7 4 6 -2 25
8 Haugesund 18 6 4 8 -1 22
9 Sandefjord 18 6 3 9 -8 21
10 Aalesund 18 5 6 7 -8 21
11 Odd 18 6 2 10 -14 20
12 Sarpsborg 08 18 6 1 11 -3 19
13 Ham-Kam 17 3 9 5 -1 18
14 Tromso 16 3 9 4 -7 18
15 Jerv 17 3 2 12 -25 11
16 Kristiansund 17 1 3 13 -21 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Jerv Lillestrom
Leandro Fernandes 🟨
30′
Half-time 0–0
Erik Tobias Sandberg 🟨
52′
Willis Furtado 🔁
↦ A. Diallo
60′
I. Mafi 🔁
↦ T. Wichne
61′
M. Ugland 🔁
↦ L. Fernandes
61′
1–0 A. Şimşir
65′
66′
🔁 T. Svendsen
↦ Y. Ibrahimaj
66′
🔁 L. Ranger
↦ E. Edh
66′
🔁 G. Åsen
↦ K. Kairinen
O. Kolskogen 🔁
↦ E. Sandberg
76′
F. Schröter 🔁
↦ A. Şimşir
76′
81′
🟨 Lars Ranger
83′
🔁 P. Helland
↦ T. Pettersson
86′
🟨 Igoh Ogbu
Iman Mafi 🟨
90′
91′
🟨 Pål André Helland
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Jerv

5-4-1
20 Ø. Øvretveit G
16 J. Norheim D
22 H. Bredeli D
5 E. Sandberg D
2 T. Wichne D
27 M. Haarup D
6 M. Wichmann M
10 L. Fernandes M
25 D. Håkans M
17 A. Diallo M
58 A. Şimşir F
Bench (9)
7 Willis Furtado
19 I. Mafi
8 M. Ugland
14 O. Kolskogen
11 F. Schröter
3 D. Arrocha
9 E. Hustad
35 B. Kristiansen
1 A. Wichne

Coach: A. Sandstø

Lillestrom

3-4-2-1
12 M. Hedenstad Christiansen G
24 T. Pettersson D
4 E. Garnås D
5 V. Dragsnes M
30 I. Ogbu D
6 K. Kairinen M
8 I. Mathew M
14 M. Knudsen F
25 E. Edh M
21 H. Friðjónsson F
20 Y. Ibrahimaj F
Bench (9)
11 T. Svendsen
2 L. Ranger
23 G. Åsen
7 P. Helland
33 H. Skogvold
3 C. Rösler
22 P. Slørdahl
16 M. Lundemo
1 K. Skjærstein

Coach: G. Bakke

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

K Steen · 47 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
19,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.