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Eliteserien

Referee: M Grøtta

Sarpsborg 08

S S T T T

2–1

Full-time

Lillestrom

S S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sarpsborg 08 Lillestrom

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 83%

83%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,7

3,3

Scored

1,5

1,8

Conceded

2,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,3

This season — Eliteserien · 20/20 matches

Win Ø 38%

25%

50%

Points per game

1,0

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 53%

45%

60%

Both score Ø 58%

45%

70%

Average goals

2,6

2,9

Scored

1,0

1,6

Conceded

1,6

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,6

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

38% Possession 62%

6 Shots 12

4 Shots on target 2

0 Blocked shots 1

0 Goalkeeper saves 2

1 Corners 3

3 Offside 6

10 Free kicks against 8

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sarpsborg 08 12. · Lillestrom 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	20	12	5	3	+22	41
2	Molde	20	11	5	4	+23	38
3	Rosenborg	20	11	4	5	+17	37
4	Kristiansund	20	11	2	7	+3	35
5	Lillestrom	20	10	4	6	+6	34
6	Viking	20	9	5	6	+0	32
7	Stromsgodset	20	8	5	7	+4	29
8	Haugesund	20	8	4	8	+0	28
9	Valerenga	20	6	9	5	+3	27
10	Odd	20	7	5	8	-7	26
11	Sandefjord	20	7	4	9	-9	25
12	Sarpsborg 08	20	5	5	10	-12	20
13	Tromso	20	4	7	9	-12	19
14	Brann	20	4	5	11	-14	17
15	Stabaek	20	4	5	11	-15	17
16	Mjondalen	20	2	8	10	-9	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Molde	10	8	1	1	+22	25
2	Kristiansund	10	8	1	1	+12	25
3	Bodo/Glimt	11	7	3	1	+17	24
4	Stromsgodset	10	7	2	1	+17	23
5	Rosenborg	10	7	1	2	+15	22
6	Haugesund	10	7	1	2	+8	22
7	Viking	10	6	2	2	+6	20
8	Lillestrom	10	5	1	4	+2	16
9	Valerenga	10	3	6	1	+6	15
10	Sandefjord	11	4	3	4	+0	15
11	Odd	9	4	2	3	+4	14
12	Sarpsborg 08	10	3	4	3	+3	13
13	Brann	10	3	3	4	-2	12
14	Stabaek	10	2	3	5	-6	9
15	Mjondalen	10	1	4	5	-2	7
16	Tromso	9	0	4	5	-8	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lillestrom	10	5	3	2	+4	18
2	Bodo/Glimt	9	5	2	2	+5	17
3	Rosenborg	10	4	3	3	+2	15
4	Tromso	11	4	3	4	-4	15
5	Molde	10	3	4	3	+1	13
6	Valerenga	10	3	3	4	-3	12
7	Viking	10	3	3	4	-6	12
8	Odd	11	3	3	5	-11	12
9	Sandefjord	9	3	1	5	-9	10
10	Kristiansund	10	3	1	6	-9	10
11	Stabaek	10	2	2	6	-9	8
12	Mjondalen	10	1	4	5	-7	7
13	Sarpsborg 08	10	2	1	7	-15	7
14	Haugesund	10	1	3	6	-8	6
15	Stromsgodset	10	1	3	6	-13	6
16	Brann	10	1	2	7	-12	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.