La Liga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Ath Madrid
Barcelona
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 2–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Real Madrid
|
7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | +13 | 17 |
| 2 |
Sociedad
|
7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 16 |
| 3 |
Sevilla
|
6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | +8 | 14 |
| 4 |
Ath Madrid
|
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +3 | 14 |
| 5 |
Osasuna
|
8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +0 | 14 |
| 6 |
Vallecano
|
8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +5 | 13 |
| 7 |
Ath Bilbao
|
8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 13 |
| 8 |
Barcelona
|
6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | +6 | 12 |
| 9 |
Valencia
|
8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +4 | 12 |
| 10 |
Betis
|
7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +4 | 12 |
| 11 |
Mallorca
|
8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 11 |
| 12 |
Villarreal
|
6 | 1 | 5 | 0 | +3 | 8 |
| 13 |
Celta
|
7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 7 |
| 14 |
Cadiz
|
8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -4 | 7 |
| 15 |
Espanol
|
7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 6 |
| 16 |
Elche
|
7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 6 |
| 17 |
Levante
|
8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -7 | 4 |
| 18 |
Granada
|
7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -7 | 3 |
| 19 |
Alaves
|
7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | -10 | 3 |
| 20 |
Getafe
|
7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | -10 | 0 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
J. Oblak
G
S. Savić
D
J. Giménez
D
Hermoso
D
Koke
M
T. Lemar
M
Marcos Llorente
M
Coach: D. Simeone
M. ter Stegen
G
R. Araújo
D
Óscar Mingueza
D
S. Dest
D
Nico González
M
Gavi
M
Coach: R. Koeman
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Alaves
Ath Madrid
Getafe
Ath Madrid
Ath Madrid
Ath Bilbao
Espanol
Ath Madrid
Ath Madrid
Villarreal
César Soto · 119 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.