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Premiership
Referee: D Munro
Hearts
U S U U S
2–0
Full-time
Motherwell
S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hearts Motherwell
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
2,0
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,3
2,2
Scored
1,7
1,5
Conceded
0,7
0,7
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,8
This season — Premiership · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 57%
57%
57%
Points per game
2,1
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
57%
43%
Both score Ø 64%
57%
71%
Average goals
2,4
2,6
Scored
1,7
1,6
Conceded
0,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

54% Possession 46%
10 Shots 20
5 Shots on target 7
2 Blocked shots 7
7 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 8
1 Offside 3
14 Free kicks against 16
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hearts 3. · Motherwell 4. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rangers 7 5 1 1 +7 16
2 Hibernian 7 4 3 0 +7 15
3 Hearts 7 4 3 0 +7 15
4 Motherwell 7 4 2 1 +4 14
5 Dundee United 7 3 2 2 -1 11
6 Celtic 7 3 1 3 +12 10
7 ST Johnstone 8 2 3 3 +0 9
8 Aberdeen 7 2 2 3 -1 8
9 St Mirren 7 1 4 2 -6 7
10 Livingston 7 1 1 5 -9 4
11 Ross County 7 0 3 4 -9 3
12 Dundee 8 0 3 5 -11 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

7. Mar -20 Hearts – Motherwell 1–1 7. Dec -19 Motherwell – Hearts 1–0 14. Sep -19 Hearts – Motherwell 2–3

Match report

Hearts Motherwell
1–0 L. Boyce ⚽
5′
11′
🟨 Juhani Ojala
18′
🟨 Liam David Grimshaw
2–0 S. Kingsley ⚽
22′
Cameron Devlin 🟨
43′
Half-time 2–0
A. Halliday 🔁
↦ C. Halkett
56′
G. Mackay-Steven 🔁
↦ B. Woodburn
69′
Taylor Moore 🟨
75′
75′
🔁 J. Amaluzor
↦ L. Grimshaw
P. Haring 🔁
↦ B. McKay
81′
82′
🔁 C. Shields
↦ K. van Veen
Beni Baningime 🟨
83′
92′
🟨 Nathan McGinley
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Hearts

3-4-3
1 C. Gordon G
2 M. Smith M
3 S. Kingsley D
19 C. Halkett D
15 T. Moore D
17 A. Cochrane M
18 B. McKay F
9 B. Woodburn F
6 B. Baningime M
14 C. Devlin M
10 L. Boyce F
Bench (7)
16 A. Halliday
11 G. Mackay-Steven
5 P. Haring
13 R. Stewart
7 J. Walker
21 A. Gnanduillet
30 J. Ginnelly

Coach: R. Neilson

Motherwell

4-3-3
1 L. Kelly G
14 J. Ojala D
2 S. O'Donnell D
23 L. Grimshaw M
19 N. McGinley D
5 B. Mugabi D
8 M. O'Hara M
16 C. Slattery M
32 T. Watt F
9 K. van Veen F
7 K. Woolery F
Bench (7)
17 J. Amaluzor
29 C. Shields
12 S. Fox
20 R. Crawford
6 B. Maguire
4 R. Lamie
3 J. Carroll

Coach: G. Alexander

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,60
🔒
U
3,89
🔒
B
5,62
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
2,05
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,77
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

D Munro · 70 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.