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Eliteserien
Referee: O Nilsen
Lillestrom
S U T S S
2–3
Full-time
Brann
U U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lillestrom Brann
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
2,7
3,7
Scored
1,8
1,5
Conceded
0,8
2,2
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,7
This season — Eliteserien · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 33%
53%
12%
Points per game
1,8
0,6
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
53%
65%
Both score Ø 65%
65%
65%
Average goals
2,6
3,1
Scored
1,5
1,1
Conceded
1,1
2,1
Goal diff per game
+0,4
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

59% Possession 41%
19 Shots 15
3 Shots on target 8
9 Blocked shots 2
5 Goalkeeper saves 1
7 Corners 12
3 Offside 0
5 Free kicks against 5
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lillestrom 3. · Brann 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bodo/Glimt 17 10 4 3 +19 34
2 Molde 17 10 3 4 +19 33
3 Lillestrom 17 9 4 4 +7 31
4 Kristiansund 17 9 2 6 +3 29
5 Rosenborg 17 8 4 5 +12 28
6 Viking 17 8 4 5 +0 28
7 Valerenga 17 6 8 3 +7 26
8 Haugesund 17 7 4 6 +2 25
9 Stromsgodset 17 7 4 6 +0 25
10 Odd 17 6 4 7 -8 22
11 Sandefjord 17 6 3 8 -9 21
12 Sarpsborg 08 17 5 5 7 -4 20
13 Tromso 17 3 6 8 -12 15
14 Mjondalen 17 2 7 8 -3 13
15 Stabaek 17 3 4 10 -16 13
16 Brann 17 2 4 11 -17 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lillestrom Brann
17′
R. Taylor 0–1
34′
🟨 Fredrik Knudsen
Espen Bjornsen Garnas 🟨
39′
Half-time 1–1
1–1 E. Garnås
K. Kairinen
59′
65′
B. Finne 1–2
A. Heggebø
E. Edh 🔁
↦ L. Ranger
71′
2–2 T. Olsen
G. Åsen
71′
P. Helland 🔁
↦ D. Gustafsson
72′
T. Svendsen 🔁
↦ V. Dragsnes
72′
74′
A. Heggebø 2–3
S. Nilsen
80′
🔁 O. Blomberg
↦ B. Finne
88′
🔁 O. Kolskogen
↦ P. Strand
M. Knudsen 🔁
↦ T. Pettersson
89′
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Lillestrom

3-4-3
1 K. Skjærstein G
24 T. Pettersson D
4 E. Garnås D
5 V. Dragsnes M
26 L. Ranger M
30 I. Ogbu D
23 G. Åsen F
6 K. Kairinen M
8 I. Mathew M
90 D. Gustafsson F
10 T. Olsen F
Bench (9)
25 E. Edh
7 P. Helland
11 T. Svendsen
21 M. Knudsen
17 J. Braut-Brunes
40 J. Sveinhaug
14 F. Krogstad
15 J. Baccay
22 P. Slørdahl

Coach: G. Bakke

Brann

4-3-3
28 L. Grill G
21 R. Kristiansen D
3 F. Knudsen D
26 J. Sery D
23 D. Pedersen M
16 R. Taylor F
19 S. Nilsen M
9 P. Strand M
8 F. Myhre D
11 B. Finne F
20 A. Heggebø F
Bench (7)
2 O. Blomberg
4 O. Kolskogen
14 M. Simba
1 H. Opdal
25 N. Jensen
18 D. Wolfe
17 F. Delaveris

Coach: E. Horneland

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

O Nilsen · 75 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,6 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.