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Eredivisie
Referee: E Blank
Waalwijk
U T U T T
1–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Waalwijk Go Ahead Eagles
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
3,3
3,3
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
2,0
2,3
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-1,3
This season — Eredivisie · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 22%
14%
29%
Points per game
0,7
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
71%
43%
Both score Ø 50%
71%
29%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
1,3
0,9
Conceded
1,7
2,1
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

54% Possession 46%
16 Shots 13
3 Shots on target 3
7 Blocked shots 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 4
2 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Waalwijk 15. · Go Ahead Eagles 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 7 6 1 0 +29 19
2 Willem II 7 5 1 1 +3 16
3 Feyenoord 6 5 0 1 +12 15
4 PSV Eindhoven 7 5 0 2 +7 15
5 Utrecht 7 4 2 1 +12 14
6 Twente 8 4 2 2 +4 14
7 Cambuur 7 4 0 3 -3 12
8 Heerenveen 6 3 1 2 +0 10
9 Vitesse 7 3 1 3 -8 10
10 Nijmegen 7 2 2 3 -7 8
11 Heracles 6 2 1 3 -2 7
12 Groningen 8 1 3 4 -7 6
13 Sparta Rotterdam 7 1 3 3 -8 6
14 Go Ahead Eagles 7 2 0 5 -9 6
15 Waalwijk 7 1 2 4 -3 5
16 For Sittard 6 1 2 3 -7 5
17 AZ Alkmaar 5 1 0 4 -2 3
18 Zwolle 7 0 1 6 -11 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Waalwijk Go Ahead Eagles
15′
Iñigo Córdoba 0–1
R. Oratmangoen
22′
🟨 Jay Idzes
Half-time 0–1
58′
🟨 Joris Kramer
1–1 A. Büttner
60′
A. El Bouchataoui 🔁
↦ R. van der Venne
62′
72′
🔁 I. Lidberg
↦ Cardona
M. Kramer 🔁
↦ L. Daneels
76′
Michiel Kramer 🟨
77′
77′
🟨 Boyd Lucassen
T. Lutonda 🔁
↦ A. Büttner
79′
80′
🔁 O. Heil
↦ G. Botos
80′
🔁 M. Deijl
↦ Iñigo Córdoba
Saïd Bakari 🟨
81′
86′
🟨 Isac Lidberg
90′
ℹ️ Isac Lidberg
VAR: Goal cancelled
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Waalwijk

4-2-3-1
1 E. Vaessen G
28 A. Büttner D
2 J. Gaari D
59 A. Touba D
3 M. Meulensteen D
6 V. Anita M
10 R. van der Venne M
22 S. Bakari M
8 A. Azhil M
20 L. Daneels M
7 J. Odgaard F
Bench (12)
14 A. El Bouchataoui
29 M. Kramer
5 T. Lutonda
12 H. Mulder
15 L. Nieuwpoort
13 J. Teunckens
31 I. El Maach
26 S. Augustijns
24 D. Van den Buijs
33 Y. Oukili
4 S. Adewoye
9 F. Stokkers

Coach: J. Oosting

Go Ahead Eagles

4-2-3-1
1 W. Hahn G
5 B. Kuipers D
4 J. Kramer D
2 B. Lucassen D
21 Iñigo Córdoba M
10 P. Rommens M
8 L. Brouwers M
6 J. Idzes D
30 G. Botos M
29 Cardona F
11 R. Oratmangoen M
Bench (8)
9 I. Lidberg
19 O. Heil
20 M. Deijl
22 Q. Dumay
16 S. Jansen
24 Y. Bourhane
23 A. Noppert
26 J. Bakker

Coach: K. van Wonderen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,27
U ✓
3,55
B
3,00
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,68
U2,5 ✓
2,18
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

E Blank · 56 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.