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Serie B
Spal
S U T S T
2–2
Full-time
Parma
S S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Spal Parma
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,8
3,0
Scored
1,7
1,7
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,3
This season — Serie B · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,8
3,0
Scored
1,7
1,7
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

28 Shots 11
9 Shots on target 3
7 Corners 4
14 Free kicks against 14
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Spal 14. · Parma 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Pisa 7 6 1 0 +11 19
2 Cremonese 7 5 0 2 +5 15
3 Brescia 6 4 2 0 +9 14
4 Lecce 7 4 2 1 +5 14
5 Ascoli 7 4 1 2 +2 13
6 Cittadella 7 4 0 3 -1 12
7 Benevento 6 3 2 1 +5 11
8 Frosinone 7 2 4 1 +3 10
9 Reggina 7 2 4 1 +0 10
10 Cosenza 7 3 1 3 -2 10
11 Perugia 6 2 3 1 +3 9
12 Monza 7 2 3 2 -1 9
13 Parma 6 2 2 2 +2 8
14 Spal 6 2 1 3 +3 7
15 Ternana 7 2 1 4 -5 7
16 Crotone 7 0 4 3 -6 4
17 Alessandria 7 1 1 5 -7 4
18 Como 6 0 3 3 -5 3
19 Pordenone 6 0 1 5 -13 1
20 Vicenza 6 0 0 6 -8 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,35
U ✓
3,15
B
3,10
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,95
U2,5
1,85
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.