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Eliteserien

Referee: Svein Oddvar Moen

Lillestrom

U U T T T

0–0

Full-time

Sarpsborg 08

U U S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lillestrom Sarpsborg 08

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,5

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,0

2,5

Scored

0,5

1,2

Conceded

1,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-0,2

This season — Eliteserien · 29/29 matches

Win Ø 21%

24%

17%

Points per game

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 47%

55%

38%

Both score Ø 59%

55%

62%

Average goals

2,7

2,4

Scored

1,1

1,0

Conceded

1,6

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

56% Possession 44%

15 Shots 6

3 Shots on target 3

5 Blocked shots 0

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

3 Corners 3

0 Offside 2

15 Free kicks against 16

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lillestrom 13. · Sarpsborg 08 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Molde	29	20	5	4	+39	65
2	Bodo/Glimt	29	15	9	5	+22	54
3	Odd	29	15	7	7	+8	52
4	Rosenborg	29	13	10	6	+11	49
5	Viking	29	12	8	9	+9	44
6	Kristiansund	29	11	8	10	+1	41
7	Brann	29	10	10	9	-1	40
8	Stabaek	29	10	9	10	+2	39
9	Haugesund	29	8	13	8	+4	37
10	Valerenga	29	8	10	11	-4	34
11	Sarpsborg 08	29	5	14	10	-10	29
12	Stromsgodset	29	7	8	14	-14	29
13	Lillestrom	29	7	8	14	-15	29
14	Tromso	29	8	5	16	-19	29
15	Mjondalen	29	5	12	12	-15	27
16	Ranheim	29	7	6	16	-18	27

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Odd	15	12	3	0	+17	39
2	Molde	14	12	2	0	+29	38
3	Bodo/Glimt	15	10	4	1	+27	34
4	Rosenborg	14	10	3	1	+17	33
5	Viking	15	9	4	2	+17	31
6	Kristiansund	14	8	4	2	+16	28
7	Stabaek	15	5	7	3	+6	22
8	Valerenga	15	6	4	5	+3	22
9	Sarpsborg 08	15	4	9	2	+2	21
10	Brann	14	5	6	3	+2	21
11	Stromsgodset	15	6	3	6	+1	21
12	Tromso	14	5	4	5	+5	19
13	Lillestrom	14	5	4	5	-3	19
14	Haugesund	14	4	6	4	+2	18
15	Mjondalen	14	4	6	4	-1	18
16	Ranheim	15	4	2	9	-9	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Molde	15	8	3	4	+10	27
2	Bodo/Glimt	14	5	5	4	-5	20
3	Haugesund	15	4	7	4	+2	19
4	Brann	15	5	4	6	-3	19
5	Stabaek	14	5	2	7	-4	17
6	Rosenborg	15	3	7	5	-6	16
7	Viking	14	3	4	7	-8	13
8	Odd	14	3	4	7	-9	13
9	Ranheim	14	3	4	7	-9	13
10	Kristiansund	15	3	4	8	-15	13
11	Valerenga	14	2	6	6	-7	12
12	Lillestrom	15	2	4	9	-12	10
13	Tromso	15	3	1	11	-24	10
14	Mjondalen	15	1	6	8	-14	9
15	Sarpsborg 08	14	1	5	8	-12	8
16	Stromsgodset	14	1	5	8	-15	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.