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Eliteserien

Referee: M Aslam

Lillestrom

U S U U S

2–0

Full-time

Sarpsborg 08

T S T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lillestrom Sarpsborg 08

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

2,0

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

3,0

2,8

Scored

1,8

1,0

Conceded

1,2

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,8

This season — Eliteserien · 12/13 matches

Win Ø 37%

50%

23%

Points per game

1,8

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 45%

58%

31%

Both score Ø 61%

75%

46%

Average goals

2,8

2,2

Scored

1,5

0,8

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

49% Possession 51%

14 Shots 14

6 Shots on target 5

2 Blocked shots 3

5 Goalkeeper saves 4

6 Corners 7

3 Offside 4

9 Free kicks against 16

0 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lillestrom 6. · Sarpsborg 08 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Molde	14	9	3	2	+21	30
2	Bodo/Glimt	14	7	4	3	+14	25
3	Kristiansund	13	7	2	4	+1	23
4	Rosenborg	14	6	4	4	+7	22
5	Valerenga	14	5	6	3	+5	21
6	Lillestrom	12	6	3	3	+2	21
7	Haugesund	12	5	4	3	+5	19
8	Stromsgodset	13	5	4	4	-1	19
9	Odd	13	5	4	4	-3	19
10	Viking	13	5	3	5	-3	18
11	Sandefjord	12	5	1	6	-4	16
12	Sarpsborg 08	13	3	5	5	-6	14
13	Mjondalen	12	2	6	4	+1	12
14	Tromso	13	2	4	7	-12	10
15	Brann	14	1	4	9	-14	7
16	Stabaek	12	1	3	8	-13	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Molde	7	6	0	1	+17	18
2	Bodo/Glimt	8	5	2	1	+13	17
3	Stromsgodset	7	5	2	0	+11	17
4	Haugesund	6	5	1	0	+11	16
5	Kristiansund	7	5	1	1	+5	16
6	Rosenborg	7	4	1	2	+7	13
7	Lillestrom	6	4	1	1	+3	13
8	Viking	6	3	2	1	+5	11
9	Odd	5	3	2	0	+5	11
10	Valerenga	7	2	4	1	+4	10
11	Sandefjord	7	3	1	3	+0	10
12	Sarpsborg 08	7	1	4	2	-1	7
13	Mjondalen	5	1	3	1	+2	6
14	Brann	7	1	3	3	-3	6
15	Stabaek	6	1	1	4	-6	4
16	Tromso	6	0	2	4	-7	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Molde	7	3	3	1	+4	12
2	Valerenga	7	3	2	2	+1	11
3	Rosenborg	7	2	3	2	+0	9
4	Bodo/Glimt	6	2	2	2	+1	8
5	Lillestrom	6	2	2	2	-1	8
6	Tromso	7	2	2	3	-5	8
7	Odd	8	2	2	4	-8	8
8	Kristiansund	6	2	1	3	-4	7
9	Sarpsborg 08	6	2	1	3	-5	7
10	Viking	7	2	1	4	-8	7
11	Mjondalen	7	1	3	3	-1	6
12	Sandefjord	5	2	0	3	-4	6
13	Haugesund	6	0	3	3	-6	3
14	Stabaek	6	0	2	4	-7	2
15	Stromsgodset	6	0	2	4	-12	2
16	Brann	7	0	1	6	-11	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.