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La Liga

Referee: Mario Melero

Osasuna

S T S T S

1–0

Full-time

Vallecano

S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Osasuna Vallecano

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,7

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,5

2,8

Scored

1,7

2,2

Conceded

1,8

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+1,5

This season — La Liga · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 50%

43%

57%

Points per game

1,6

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 64%

57%

71%

Both score Ø 50%

57%

43%

Average goals

3,0

2,9

Scored

1,4

1,9

Conceded

1,6

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,1

+0,9

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

51% Possession 49%

7 Shots 7

3 Shots on target 0

3 Blocked shots 3

0 Goalkeeper saves 2

6 Corners 3

1 Offside 0

19 Free kicks against 9

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Osasuna 10. · Vallecano 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	7	5	2	0	+13	17
2	Sociedad	7	5	1	1	+4	16
3	Sevilla	6	4	2	0	+8	14
4	Ath Madrid	7	4	2	1	+3	14
5	Vallecano	7	4	1	2	+6	13
6	Ath Bilbao	8	3	4	1	+3	13
7	Barcelona	6	3	3	0	+6	12
8	Betis	7	3	3	1	+4	12
9	Valencia	7	3	2	2	+4	11
10	Osasuna	7	3	2	2	-1	11
11	Villarreal	6	1	5	0	+3	8
12	Mallorca	7	2	2	3	-6	8
13	Celta	7	2	1	4	-3	7
14	Espanol	7	1	3	3	-3	6
15	Cadiz	7	1	3	3	-4	6
16	Elche	7	1	3	3	-4	6
17	Levante	7	0	4	3	-6	4
18	Granada	7	0	3	4	-7	3
19	Alaves	7	1	0	6	-10	3
20	Getafe	7	0	0	7	-10	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	4	3	1	0	+6	10
2	Sociedad	4	3	1	0	+3	10
3	Vallecano	3	3	0	0	+9	9
4	Sevilla	3	3	0	0	+7	9
5	Real Madrid	3	2	1	0	+8	7
6	Valencia	4	2	1	1	+3	7
7	Ath Bilbao	4	2	1	1	+2	7
8	Betis	4	1	2	1	+1	5
9	Ath Madrid	3	1	2	0	+1	5
10	Mallorca	4	1	2	1	+0	5
11	Villarreal	2	1	1	0	+3	4
12	Espanol	3	1	1	1	+0	4
13	Elche	3	0	3	0	+0	3
14	Celta	4	1	0	3	-2	3
15	Alaves	4	1	0	3	-5	3
16	Levante	3	0	2	1	-2	2
17	Cadiz	4	0	2	2	-3	2
18	Osasuna	4	0	2	2	-5	2
19	Granada	3	0	1	2	-2	1
20	Getafe	3	0	0	3	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	4	3	1	0	+5	10
2	Osasuna	3	3	0	0	+4	9
3	Ath Madrid	4	3	0	1	+2	9
4	Betis	3	2	1	0	+3	7
5	Sociedad	3	2	0	1	+1	6
6	Ath Bilbao	4	1	3	0	+1	6
7	Sevilla	3	1	2	0	+1	5
8	Valencia	3	1	1	1	+1	4
9	Villarreal	4	0	4	0	+0	4
10	Cadiz	3	1	1	1	-1	4
11	Celta	3	1	1	1	-1	4
12	Vallecano	4	1	1	2	-3	4
13	Elche	4	1	0	3	-4	3
14	Mallorca	3	1	0	2	-6	3
15	Barcelona	2	0	2	0	+0	2
16	Espanol	4	0	2	2	-3	2
17	Levante	4	0	2	2	-4	2
18	Granada	4	0	2	2	-5	2
19	Alaves	3	0	0	3	-5	0
20	Getafe	4	0	0	4	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.