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Super League
Referee: S Schärer
Lugano
S T U U S
2–0
Full-time
Lausanne
U U U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lugano Lausanne
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,8
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 92%
83%
100%
Average goals
3,2
3,5
Scored
1,8
1,2
Conceded
1,3
2,3
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-1,2
This season — Super League · 7/8 matches
Win Ø 22%
43%
0%
Points per game
1,6
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
43%
63%
Both score Ø 86%
71%
100%
Average goals
3,0
3,5
Scored
1,6
1,1
Conceded
1,4
2,4
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

48% Possession 52%
22 Shots 10
8 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 6
3 Corners 4
1 Offside 3
13 Free kicks against 10
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lugano 6. · Lausanne 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Basel 8 5 3 0 +15 18
2 Young Boys 7 4 2 1 +10 14
3 Zurich 8 4 2 2 +1 14
4 Grasshoppers 9 3 4 2 +4 13
5 Servette 8 3 3 2 +2 12
6 Lugano 7 3 2 2 +1 11
7 Sion 8 2 3 3 -6 9
8 St. Gallen 9 1 3 5 -10 6
9 Luzern 8 0 4 4 -7 4
10 Lausanne 8 0 4 4 -10 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lugano Lausanne
23′
🟨 Zeki Amdouni
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 Cameron Puertas
↦ H. Mahou
64′
🔁 J. N'Guessan
↦ S. Kukuruzović
M. Amoura 🔁
↦ K. Hajrizi
67′
Reto Ziegler 🟨
78′
1–0 R. Ziegler
78′
79′
🔁 M. George
↦ A. Sow
Fabio Daprelà 🟨
81′
O. Custodio 🔁
↦ Asumah Abubakar
82′
H. Mahmoud 🔁
↦ M. Bottani
82′
Olivier Custodio 🟨
83′
S. Guidotti 🔁
↦ S. Lovrić
87′
M. Facchinetti 🔁
↦ Ž. Celar
87′
2–0 M. Amoura
J. Sabbatini
94′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Lugano

4-4-1-1
58 S. Osigwe G
3 R. Ziegler D
5 M. Marić D
30 F. Daprelà D
16 N. Lavanchy M
4 K. Hajrizi D
14 J. Sabbatini M
24 S. Lovrić M
10 M. Bottani F
19 Ž. Celar F
17 Asumah Abubakar M
Bench (9)
6 M. Amoura
20 O. Custodio
29 H. Mahmoud
22 S. Guidotti
7 M. Facchinetti
26 A. Saipi
21 Yuri
11 K. Monzialo
9 Luis Phelipe

Coach: M. Croci-Torti

Lausanne

3-4-2-1
40 M. Diaw G
5 S. Grippo D
26 F. Chafik M
20 H. Mahou F
28 T. Suzuki M
71 A. Sow D
7 S. Kukuruzović M
38 T. Thomas M
66 G. Barès D
11 B. Ouattara F
9 Z. Amdouni F
Bench (7)
10 Cameron Puertas
21 J. N'Guessan
12 M. George
24 A. Zohouri
6 Elton Monteiro
8 J. Geissmann
91 M. Mastil

Coach: I. Borenovic

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

S Schärer · 132 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.