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2. Bundesliga

Fortuna Dusseldorf

U T S U S

2–3

Full-time

Paderborn

S S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fortuna Dusseldorf Paderborn

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,3

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,7

3,5

Scored

1,2

2,5

Conceded

1,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+1,5

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 8/8 matches

Win Ø 44%

38%

50%

Points per game

1,4

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

50%

75%

Both score Ø 63%

63%

Average goals

2,9

3,1

Scored

1,4

2,1

Conceded

1,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,1

+1,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

22 Shots 22

12 Shots on target 7

5 Corners 4

14 Free kicks against 10

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Fortuna Dusseldorf 11. · Paderborn 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Regensburg	8	5	2	1	+10	17
2	St Pauli	8	5	1	2	+8	16
3	Heidenheim	9	4	3	2	+1	15
4	Paderborn	8	4	2	2	+9	14
5	Hamburg	9	3	5	1	+4	14
6	Nurnberg	8	3	5	0	+4	14
7	Werder Bremen	9	4	2	3	+2	14
8	Dresden	8	4	1	3	+5	13
9	Schalke 04	8	4	1	3	+2	13
10	Karlsruhe	8	3	3	2	+3	12
11	Fortuna Dusseldorf	8	3	2	3	-1	11
12	Darmstadt	8	3	1	4	+3	10
13	Hannover	8	3	1	4	-5	10
14	Holstein Kiel	8	2	2	4	-8	8
15	Hansa Rostock	8	2	1	5	-6	7
16	Sandhausen	8	2	1	5	-7	7
17	Erzgebirge Aue	9	0	4	5	-10	4
18	Ingolstadt	8	1	1	6	-14	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Pauli	4	4	0	0	+9	12
2	Regensburg	4	3	1	0	+7	10
3	Nurnberg	4	3	1	0	+4	10
4	Darmstadt	4	3	0	1	+8	9
5	Dresden	4	3	0	1	+5	9
6	Heidenheim	5	2	3	0	+2	9
7	Werder Bremen	5	2	1	2	+1	7
8	Hamburg	4	1	3	0	+1	6
9	Hannover	4	2	0	2	-2	6
10	Karlsruhe	4	1	2	1	+1	5
11	Paderborn	4	1	1	2	+0	4
12	Schalke 04	4	1	1	2	-1	4
13	Hansa Rostock	4	1	0	3	-5	3
14	Holstein Kiel	4	1	0	3	-6	3
15	Fortuna Dusseldorf	3	0	2	1	-1	2
16	Erzgebirge Aue	5	0	2	3	-6	2
17	Ingolstadt	4	0	1	3	-5	1
18	Sandhausen	4	0	1	3	-6	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paderborn	4	3	1	0	+9	10
2	Schalke 04	4	3	0	1	+3	9
3	Fortuna Dusseldorf	5	3	0	2	+0	9
4	Hamburg	5	2	2	1	+3	8
5	Regensburg	4	2	1	1	+3	7
6	Karlsruhe	4	2	1	1	+2	7
7	Werder Bremen	4	2	1	1	+1	7
8	Sandhausen	4	2	0	2	-1	6
9	Heidenheim	4	2	0	2	-1	6
10	Holstein Kiel	4	1	2	1	-2	5
11	Nurnberg	4	0	4	0	+0	4
12	Dresden	4	1	1	2	+0	4
13	St Pauli	4	1	1	2	-1	4
14	Hansa Rostock	4	1	1	2	-1	4
15	Hannover	4	1	1	2	-3	4
16	Ingolstadt	4	1	0	3	-9	3
17	Erzgebirge Aue	4	0	2	2	-4	2
18	Darmstadt	4	0	1	3	-5	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.