Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Gornik Zabrze
Wisla Plock
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Lech Poznan
|
10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +16 | 21 |
| 2 |
Slask Wroclaw
|
10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | +2 | 17 |
| 3 |
Lechia Gdansk
|
9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | +7 | 16 |
| 4 |
Pogon Szczecin
|
9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | +5 | 16 |
| 5 |
Rakow
|
8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +3 | 15 |
| 6 |
Jagiellonia
|
10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +0 | 15 |
| 7 |
Zaglebie
|
9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | -2 | 15 |
| 8 |
Piast Gliwice
|
10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -1 | 13 |
| 9 |
Cracovia
|
10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | -2 | 13 |
| 10 |
Radomiak Radom
|
10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | +1 | 12 |
| 11 |
Stal Mielec
|
10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 12 |
| 12 |
Wisla
|
10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 11 |
| 13 |
Wisla Plock
|
9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | +2 | 10 |
| 14 |
Gornik Zabrze
|
8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 10 |
| 15 |
Legia
|
7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | +0 | 9 |
| 16 |
Warta Poznan
|
9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -2 | 7 |
| 17 |
Nieciecza
|
9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -3 | 7 |
| 18 | Leczna | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -15 | 5 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Nieciecza
Gornik Zabrze
Gornik Zabrze
Warta Poznan
Cracovia
Gornik Zabrze
Gornik Zabrze
Piast Gliwice
Jagiellonia
Gornik Zabrze
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.