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Serie A

Referee: M Mariani

Salernitana

T T T U T

1–0

Full-time

Genoa

T S T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Salernitana Genoa

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,2

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

67%

100%

Both score Ø 58%

33%

83%

Average goals

3,2

4,2

Scored

0,7

1,7

Conceded

2,5

Goal diff per game

-1,8

-0,8

This season — Serie A · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,2

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

67%

100%

Both score Ø 58%

33%

83%

Average goals

3,2

4,2

Scored

0,7

1,7

Conceded

2,5

Goal diff per game

-1,8

-0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

49% Possession 51%

10 Shots 19

4 Shots on target 4

1 Blocked shots 5

4 Goalkeeper saves 3

10 Corners 8

15 Free kicks against 17

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Salernitana 20. · Genoa 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	6	6	0	0	+14	18
2	Milan	6	5	1	0	+9	16
3	Inter	6	4	2	0	+13	14
4	Roma	6	4	0	2	+6	12
5	Fiorentina	6	4	0	2	+0	12
6	Lazio	6	3	2	1	+6	11
7	Atalanta	6	3	2	1	+2	11
8	Empoli	6	3	0	3	-1	9
9	Torino	6	2	2	2	+3	8
10	Juventus	6	2	2	2	+0	8
11	Bologna	6	2	2	2	-5	8
12	Sassuolo	6	2	1	3	-1	7
13	Udinese	6	2	1	3	-2	7
14	Verona	6	1	2	3	-3	5
15	Sampdoria	6	1	2	3	-3	5
16	Genoa	6	1	2	3	-5	5
17	Venezia	7	1	2	4	-7	5
18	Spezia	6	1	1	4	-7	4
19	Cagliari	7	0	3	4	-8	3
20	Salernitana	6	0	1	5	-11	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Milan	3	3	0	0	+7	9
2	Napoli	3	3	0	0	+5	9
3	Roma	3	3	0	0	+4	9
4	Inter	3	2	1	0	+9	7
5	Lazio	3	2	1	0	+6	7
6	Bologna	3	2	1	0	+2	7
7	Torino	3	1	1	1	+3	4
8	Juventus	3	1	1	1	+0	4
9	Atalanta	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Sassuolo	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	Udinese	4	1	1	2	-2	4
12	Fiorentina	2	1	0	1	-1	3
13	Verona	3	1	0	2	-2	3
14	Empoli	4	1	0	3	-4	3
15	Cagliari	4	0	2	2	-3	2
16	Venezia	2	0	1	1	-1	1
17	Genoa	3	0	1	2	-2	1
18	Sampdoria	3	0	1	2	-5	1
19	Salernitana	3	0	1	2	-5	1
20	Spezia	3	0	0	3	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	3	3	0	0	+9	9
2	Fiorentina	4	3	0	1	+1	9
3	Inter	3	2	1	0	+4	7
4	Atalanta	3	2	1	0	+2	7
5	Milan	3	2	1	0	+2	7
6	Empoli	2	2	0	0	+3	6
7	Sampdoria	3	1	1	1	+2	4
8	Juventus	3	1	1	1	+0	4
9	Lazio	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Torino	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	Genoa	3	1	1	1	-3	4
12	Spezia	3	1	1	1	-4	4
13	Venezia	5	1	1	3	-6	4
14	Roma	3	1	0	2	+2	3
15	Udinese	2	1	0	1	+0	3
16	Sassuolo	3	1	0	2	-1	3
17	Verona	3	0	2	1	-1	2
18	Cagliari	3	0	1	2	-5	1
19	Bologna	3	0	1	2	-7	1
20	Salernitana	3	0	0	3	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.