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Eliteserien

Referee: K Steen

Sarpsborg 08

T U U T T

1–0

Full-time

Stromsgodset

U U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sarpsborg 08 Stromsgodset

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,8

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,5

2,7

Scored

0,8

1,3

Conceded

1,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+0,0

This season — Eliteserien · 15/14 matches

Win Ø 28%

20%

36%

Points per game

0,9

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 49%

33%

64%

Both score Ø 56%

47%

64%

Average goals

2,3

3,1

Scored

0,8

1,5

Conceded

1,5

1,6

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

41% Possession 59%

9 Shots 15

1 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 0

1 Corners 15

2 Offside 2

8 Free kicks against 5

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sarpsborg 08 12. · Stromsgodset 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Molde	15	10	3	2	+22	33
2	Kristiansund	15	8	2	5	+4	26
3	Bodo/Glimt	14	7	4	3	+14	25
4	Lillestrom	14	7	4	3	+4	25
5	Rosenborg	14	6	4	4	+7	22
6	Haugesund	14	6	4	4	+5	22
7	Valerenga	14	5	6	3	+5	21
8	Viking	14	6	3	5	-2	21
9	Sandefjord	14	6	2	6	-3	20
10	Stromsgodset	14	5	4	5	-2	19
11	Odd	14	5	4	5	-4	19
12	Sarpsborg 08	15	3	5	7	-10	14
13	Tromso	14	3	4	7	-11	13
14	Mjondalen	14	2	6	6	-1	12
15	Stabaek	15	3	3	9	-14	12
16	Brann	14	1	4	9	-14	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Molde	8	7	0	1	+18	21
2	Haugesund	7	6	1	0	+12	19
3	Kristiansund	8	6	1	1	+9	19
4	Bodo/Glimt	8	5	2	1	+13	17
5	Stromsgodset	7	5	2	0	+11	17
6	Lillestrom	7	5	1	1	+5	16
7	Viking	7	4	2	1	+6	14
8	Rosenborg	7	4	1	2	+7	13
9	Odd	6	3	2	1	+4	11
10	Sandefjord	8	3	2	3	+0	11
11	Valerenga	7	2	4	1	+4	10
12	Sarpsborg 08	7	1	4	2	-1	7
13	Stabaek	7	2	1	4	-4	7
14	Mjondalen	7	1	3	3	+0	6
15	Brann	7	1	3	3	-3	6
16	Tromso	6	0	2	4	-7	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Molde	7	3	3	1	+4	12
2	Valerenga	7	3	2	2	+1	11
3	Tromso	8	3	2	3	-4	11
4	Rosenborg	7	2	3	2	+0	9
5	Lillestrom	7	2	3	2	-1	9
6	Sandefjord	6	3	0	3	-3	9
7	Bodo/Glimt	6	2	2	2	+1	8
8	Odd	8	2	2	4	-8	8
9	Kristiansund	7	2	1	4	-5	7
10	Viking	7	2	1	4	-8	7
11	Sarpsborg 08	8	2	1	5	-9	7
12	Mjondalen	7	1	3	3	-1	6
13	Stabaek	8	1	2	5	-10	5
14	Haugesund	7	0	3	4	-7	3
15	Stromsgodset	7	0	2	5	-13	2
16	Brann	7	0	1	6	-11	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.