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Eliteserien
Referee: S Amland
Haugesund
S U S T T
0–3
Full-time
Lillestrom
U S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Haugesund Lillestrom
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
4,5
2,7
Scored
2,0
1,5
Conceded
2,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,3
This season — Eliteserien · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 44%
40%
47%
Points per game
1,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
60%
47%
Both score Ø 57%
47%
67%
Average goals
3,0
2,6
Scored
1,6
1,4
Conceded
1,4
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,2
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

52% Possession 48%
7 Shots 12
4 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 5
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 7
1 Offside 0
15 Free kicks against 16
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Haugesund 8. · Lillestrom 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Molde 16 10 3 3 +21 33
2 Bodo/Glimt 15 8 4 3 +15 28
3 Kristiansund 15 8 2 5 +4 26
4 Rosenborg 15 7 4 4 +8 25
5 Lillestrom 15 7 4 4 +3 25
6 Viking 15 7 3 5 -1 24
7 Valerenga 15 5 7 3 +5 22
8 Haugesund 15 6 4 5 +3 22
9 Stromsgodset 16 6 4 6 -1 22
10 Odd 15 6 4 5 -2 22
11 Sandefjord 15 6 2 7 -4 20
12 Sarpsborg 08 16 4 5 7 -9 17
13 Tromso 15 3 5 7 -11 14
14 Mjondalen 16 2 7 7 -2 13
15 Stabaek 16 3 4 9 -14 13
16 Brann 16 2 4 10 -15 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Haugesund Lillestrom
21′
D. Gustafsson 0–1
23′
D. Gustafsson 0–2
V. Dragsnes
34′
🟨 Kaan Kairinen
Half-time 0–2
T. Naustdal 🔁
↦ T. Pedersen
46′
60′
🟨 Espen Bjornsen Garnas
M. Samuelsen 🔁
↦ A. Ndour
61′
64′
🟨 Daniel Gustafsson
M. Sande 🔁
↦ S. Liseth
73′
76′
🔁 E. Edh
↦ D. Gustafsson
76′
🔁 F. Krogstad
↦ K. Kairinen
85′
🔁 M. Knudsen
↦ T. Pettersson
A. Søderlund 🔁
↦ K. Krygård
86′
Benjamin Hansen 🟨
89′
Kristoffer Velde 🟨
90′
91′
🟨 Eskil Smidesang Edh
92′
U. Fredriksen 1–2
own goal
93′
🔁 J. Braut-Brunes
↦ T. Olsen
93′
🔁 H. Skogvold
↦ G. Åsen
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Haugesund

4-3-3
12 E. Selvik G
5 B. Tiedemann D
15 U. Fredriksen D
22 A. Stølås D
23 T. Pedersen D
10 N. Sandberg F
7 P. Therkildsen M
11 K. Velde F
25 A. Ndour F
8 K. Krygård M
9 S. Liseth M
Bench (7)
20 T. Naustdal
13 M. Samuelsen
27 M. Sande
16 A. Søderlund
4 A. Bærtelsen
38 V. Solheim
1 H. Sandvik

Coach: J. Grindhaug

Lillestrom

3-4-3
12 M. Christiansen G
24 T. Pettersson D
4 E. Garnås D
5 V. Dragsnes M
26 L. Ranger M
30 I. Ogbu D
23 G. Åsen F
6 K. Kairinen M
8 I. Mathew M
90 D. Gustafsson F
10 T. Olsen F
Bench (9)
25 E. Edh
14 F. Krogstad
21 M. Knudsen
17 J. Braut-Brunes
33 H. Skogvold
11 T. Svendsen
1 K. Skjærstein
22 P. Slørdahl
15 J. Baccay

Coach: G. Bakke

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

S Amland · 84 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,07 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.