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Eredivisie
Referee: D Higler
Zwolle
T T T U T
0–1
Full-time
Heerenveen
S U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zwolle Heerenveen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,3
3,0
Scored
0,3
1,5
Conceded
2,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,7
+0,0
This season — Eredivisie · 7/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,1
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 32%
14%
50%
Both score Ø 48%
29%
67%
Average goals
2,1
3,0
Scored
0,3
1,5
Conceded
1,9
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,6
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

48% Possession 52%
16 Shots 9
3 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 7
1 Offside 5
11 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Zwolle 18. · Heerenveen 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 7 6 1 0 +29 19
2 Willem II 7 5 1 1 +3 16
3 Feyenoord 6 5 0 1 +12 15
4 PSV Eindhoven 7 5 0 2 +7 15
5 Utrecht 7 4 2 1 +12 14
6 Twente 8 4 2 2 +4 14
7 Cambuur 7 4 0 3 -3 12
8 Heerenveen 6 3 1 2 +0 10
9 Vitesse 7 3 1 3 -8 10
10 Nijmegen 7 2 2 3 -7 8
11 Heracles 6 2 1 3 -2 7
12 Go Ahead Eagles 8 2 1 5 -9 7
13 Waalwijk 8 1 3 4 -3 6
14 Groningen 8 1 3 4 -7 6
15 Sparta Rotterdam 7 1 3 3 -8 6
16 For Sittard 6 1 2 3 -7 5
17 AZ Alkmaar 5 1 0 4 -2 3
18 Zwolle 7 0 1 6 -11 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Zwolle Heerenveen
Slobodan Tedić 🟨
42′
Yuta Nakayama 🟨
45′
Half-time 0–0
53′
🟨 Arjen Van Der Heide
61′
🔁 R. Al Hajj
↦ A. van der Heide
61′
🔁 A. Musaba
↦ B. Nygren
63′
B. van Polen 1–0
own goal
L. Fernandes 🔁
↦ M. Saymak
71′
C. Landu 🔁
↦ D. Redan
71′
L. Adžić 🔁
↦ G. Kastaneer
76′
R. Koolwijk 🔁
↦ M. Pabai
87′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Zwolle

4-1-4-1
1 K. Lamprou G
2 B. van Polen D
4 Y. Nakayama D
15 S. Kersten D
27 M. Pabai D
6 M. Saymak M
13 R. Strieder M
8 D. Huiberts M
7 G. Kastaneer M
19 D. Redan M
9 S. Tedić F
Bench (11)
14 L. Fernandes
45 C. Landu
11 L. Adžić
37 R. Koolwijk
23 E. Reijnders
3 S. Voet
20 T. van den Belt
16 J. Schendelaar
33 R. van den Berg
5 K. Paal
40 M. Hauptmeijer

Coach: A. Langeler

Heerenveen

4-2-3-1
22 X. Mous G
5 L. Woudenberg D
4 S. van Beek D
14 I. Dresevic D
27 M. van Ewijk D
10 T. Halilović M
20 J. Veerman M
29 N. Madsen M
9 H. Veerman F
16 A. van der Heide M
8 B. Nygren M
Bench (10)
17 R. Al Hajj
11 A. Musaba
15 N. Bakker
18 H. Akujobi
24 J. Kroesen
21 R. Kongolo
35 D. Nunumete
13 R. Kaib
23 J. Bekkema
2 S. van Ottele

Coach: J. Jansen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,84
U
3,28
B ✓
2,50
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,94
U2,5 ✓
1,87
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

D Higler · 133 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.