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Championship
Referee: A Davies
Hull
U T T T U
2–0
Full-time
Middlesbrough
T S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hull Middlesbrough
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
17%
17%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
1,7
2,0
Scored
0,3
1,0
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,0
This season — Championship · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 20%
10%
30%
Points per game
0,6
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 30%
30%
30%
Both score Ø 40%
30%
50%
Average goals
2,1
2,2
Scored
0,6
1,1
Conceded
1,5
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,9
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

44% Possession 56%
9 Shots 17
2 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 6
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
1 Corners 1
1 Offside 0
14 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hull 24. · Middlesbrough 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 West Brom 12 7 4 1 +12 25
2 Coventry 12 8 1 3 +7 25
3 Bournemouth 11 6 5 0 +9 23
4 Stoke 11 6 3 2 +4 21
5 Fulham 11 6 2 3 +10 20
6 Blackburn 10 4 4 2 +6 16
7 Luton 11 4 4 3 +5 16
8 Huddersfield 9 5 1 3 +4 16
9 Bristol City 11 4 4 3 +1 16
10 Reading 11 5 1 5 -1 16
11 QPR 10 4 3 3 +5 15
12 Sheffield United 11 4 3 4 +3 15
13 Preston 11 3 5 3 -1 14
14 Derby 11 3 4 4 -2 13
15 Middlesbrough 10 3 3 4 +0 12
16 Millwall 10 2 6 2 -1 12
17 Blackpool 10 3 3 4 -4 12
18 Birmingham 11 3 3 5 -5 12
19 Cardiff 11 3 3 5 -6 12
20 Swansea 10 2 4 4 -5 10
21 Barnsley 10 1 5 4 -6 8
22 Peterborough 10 2 2 6 -10 8
23 Peterboro 11 2 2 7 -11 8
24 Hull 10 1 3 6 -9 6
25 Nott'm Forest 9 1 2 6 -5 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hull Middlesbrough
7′
🟨 Marcus Tavernier
S. McLoughlin 🔁
↦ A. Jones
42′
Half-time 0–0
58′
🟨 Lee Peltier
G. Docherty 🔁
↦ G. Moncur
60′
M. Wilks 🔁
↦ T. Smith
69′
78′
🟨 Paddy McNair
80′
🔁 J. Lea Siliki
↦ D. Fry
0–1 J. Lumley
own goal
81′
84′
🔁 I. Jones
↦ M. Bola
84′
🔁 U. Ikpeazu
↦ D. Watmore
Mallik Wilks 🟨
92′
1–1 M. Wilks
G. Docherty
93′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Hull

3-4-1-2
1 M. Ingram G
12 J. Emmanuel M
5 A. Jones D
24 D. Bernard D
4 J. Greaves D
6 R. Smallwood M
18 G. Moncur F
14 A. Cannon M
9 T. Eaves F
11 K. Lewis-Potter M
22 T. Smith F
Bench (7)
17 S. McLoughlin
8 G. Docherty
7 M. Wilks
16 R. Longman
13 N. Baxter
20 M. Smith
39 J. Hinds

Coach: G. McCann

Middlesbrough

3-4-1-2
1 J. Lumley G
14 L. Peltier D
22 S. Bamba D
27 M. Bola M
16 J. Howson M
25 M. Crooks F
17 P. McNair M
18 D. Watmore F
6 D. Fry D
7 M. Tavernier M
11 A. Šporar F
Bench (6)
23 J. Lea Siliki
35 I. Jones
9 U. Ikpeazu
30 W. Kokolo
28 L. Daniels
13 T. Olusanya

Coach: N. Warnock

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,04
U
3,17
B
2,47
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,32
U2,5 ✓
1,61
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Davies · 114 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.