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Eliteserien

Referee: Espen Eskas

Sarpsborg 08

U U S U U

1–0

Full-time

Lillestrom

U U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sarpsborg 08 Lillestrom

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

1,8

3,0

Scored

1,2

1,7

Conceded

0,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,3

This season — Eliteserien · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

1,0

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

50%

Both score Ø 100%

100%

Average goals

2,0

2,5

Scored

1,0

1,5

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

52% Possession 48%

21 Shots 10

5 Shots on target 5

7 Blocked shots 2

4 Goalkeeper saves 4

5 Corners 3

5 Offside 2

13 Free kicks against 18

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sarpsborg 08 12. · Lillestrom 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Viking	3	3	0	0	+5	9
2	Molde	3	2	1	0	+6	7
3	Bodo/Glimt	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Odd	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Lillestrom	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Stromsgodset	3	1	1	1	+0	4
7	Brann	4	1	1	2	-1	4
8	Kristiansund	3	1	0	2	-1	3
9	Tromso	2	1	0	1	-1	3
10	Mjondalen	3	1	0	2	-2	3
11	Valerenga	3	1	0	2	-3	3
12	Sarpsborg 08	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	Haugesund	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Rosenborg	2	0	1	1	-2	1
15	Stabaek	2	0	1	1	-3	1
16	Ranheim	2	0	0	2	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Molde	2	2	0	0	+6	6
2	Viking	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Brann	2	1	1	0	+1	4
4	Bodo/Glimt	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Valerenga	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Kristiansund	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Odd	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Lillestrom	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Stromsgodset	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Rosenborg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Stabaek	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Haugesund	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Sarpsborg 08	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Mjondalen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Ranheim	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Tromso	1	0	0	1	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Viking	1	1	0	0	+2	3
2	Bodo/Glimt	1	1	0	0	+1	3
3	Tromso	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Mjondalen	2	1	0	1	-1	3
5	Odd	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	Lillestrom	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Sarpsborg 08	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Molde	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Stromsgodset	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Haugesund	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Ranheim	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Brann	2	0	0	2	-2	0
13	Rosenborg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
14	Kristiansund	2	0	0	2	-3	0
15	Stabaek	1	0	0	1	-3	0
16	Valerenga	2	0	0	2	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.