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Eliteserien
Referee: R Saggi
Lillestrom
T S S T S
1–2
Full-time
Tromso
U U T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lillestrom Tromso
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 84%
67%
100%
Average goals
3,2
3,5
Scored
1,8
1,7
Conceded
1,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,2
This season — Eliteserien · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 35%
53%
16%
Points per game
1,8
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
58%
58%
Both score Ø 66%
68%
63%
Average goals
2,9
3,0
Scored
1,6
1,2
Conceded
1,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,4
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

62% Possession 38%
9 Shots 7
4 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
13 Corners 2
3 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lillestrom 5. · Tromso 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bodo/Glimt 19 11 5 3 +21 38
2 Molde 19 11 4 4 +23 37
3 Kristiansund 19 11 2 6 +5 35
4 Rosenborg 19 10 4 5 +15 34
5 Lillestrom 19 10 4 5 +7 34
6 Viking 19 9 4 6 +0 31
7 Haugesund 19 8 4 7 +2 28
8 Valerenga 19 6 9 4 +4 27
9 Stromsgodset 18 7 4 7 -1 25
10 Sandefjord 19 7 4 8 -6 25
11 Odd 19 6 5 8 -9 23
12 Sarpsborg 08 19 5 5 9 -7 20
13 Tromso 19 3 7 9 -13 16
14 Mjondalen 19 2 8 9 -7 14
15 Brann 19 3 5 11 -16 14
16 Stabaek 18 3 4 11 -18 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lillestrom Tromso
27′
N. Vesterlund 0–1
R. Espejord
Half-time 0–1
56′
🔁 M. Ingebrigtsen
↦ R. Espejord
E. Edh 🔁
↦ L. Ranger
60′
P. Helland 🔁
↦ D. Gustafsson
60′
62′
A. Mikkelsen 0–2
E. Kitolano
65′
🔁 I. Amundsen
↦ C. Øyvann
Igoh Ogbu 🟨
68′
71′
🟨 Christophe Psyche
U. Mathisen 🔁
↦ M. Knudsen
72′
T. Svendsen 🔁
↦ E. Garnås
73′
77′
🟨 Niklas Vesterlund
84′
🔁 A. Arnarson
↦ N. Vesterlund
84′
🔁 M. Andersen
↦ E. Kitolano
J. Braut-Brunes 🔁
↦ V. Dragsnes
86′
1–2 T. Olsen
91′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Lillestrom

3-4-3
1 K. Skjærstein G
24 T. Pettersson D
4 E. Garnås D
5 V. Dragsnes M
26 L. Ranger M
30 I. Ogbu D
23 G. Åsen F
8 I. Mathew M
21 M. Knudsen M
90 D. Gustafsson F
10 T. Olsen F
Bench (9)
25 E. Edh
7 P. Helland
18 U. Mathisen
11 T. Svendsen
17 J. Braut-Brunes
15 J. Baccay
40 J. Sveinhaug
22 P. Slørdahl
14 F. Krogstad

Coach: G. Bakke

Tromso

3-5-2
1 J. Karlstrøm G
28 C. Psyché D
4 J. Gundersen D
19 N. Vesterlund M
16 T. Totland M
20 C. Øyvann D
11 R. Jenssen M
21 E. Kitolano M
22 S. Opsahl M
14 A. Mikkelsen F
9 R. Espejord F
Bench (7)
10 M. Ingebrigtsen
6 I. Amundsen
2 A. Arnarson
15 M. Andersen
17 D. Berntsen
3 J. Robertsen
12 S. Thomas

Coach: G. Helstrup

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

R Saggi · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.