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La Liga

Referee: Javier Estrada Fernandez

Villarreal

S U S T T

1–1

Full-time

Ath Madrid

U S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Villarreal Ath Madrid

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,2

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

33%

17%

Both score Ø 17%

17%

Average goals

1,7

Scored

0,8

1,2

Conceded

0,8

0,5

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,7

This season — La Liga · 8/8 matches

Win Ø 38%

25%

50%

Points per game

1,0

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 26%

38%

13%

Both score Ø 25%

25%

Average goals

1,6

Scored

0,8

1,1

Conceded

0,9

0,5

Goal diff per game

-0,1

+0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

53% Possession 47%

18 Shots 15

6 Shots on target 4

7 Blocked shots 6

4 Goalkeeper saves 5

8 Corners 7

16 Free kicks against 9

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Villarreal 16. · Ath Madrid 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Alaves	9	5	2	2	+4	17
2	Sevilla	8	5	1	2	+10	16
3	Barcelona	8	4	3	1	+10	15
4	Ath Madrid	8	4	3	1	+5	15
5	Real Madrid	9	4	2	3	+4	14
6	Espanol	8	4	2	2	+4	14
7	Levante	9	4	1	4	-1	13
8	Valladolid	8	3	3	2	+1	12
9	Betis	8	3	3	2	-1	12
10	Sociedad	8	3	2	3	+1	11
11	Celta	9	2	4	3	+0	10
12	Valencia	9	1	7	1	-1	10
13	Eibar	8	3	1	4	-3	10
14	Getafe	8	2	3	3	-1	9
15	Girona	8	2	3	3	-3	9
16	Villarreal	8	2	2	4	-1	8
17	Leganes	9	2	2	5	-5	8
18	Ath Bilbao	7	1	4	2	-4	7
19	Vallecano	7	1	2	4	-8	5
20	Huesca	8	1	2	5	-11	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Espanol	4	4	0	0	+6	12
2	Real Madrid	5	3	1	1	+5	10
3	Ath Madrid	4	3	1	0	+5	10
4	Barcelona	4	2	2	0	+9	8
5	Alaves	4	2	2	0	+2	8
6	Sevilla	4	2	1	1	+2	7
7	Leganes	4	2	1	1	+1	7
8	Betis	4	2	1	1	-1	7
9	Celta	5	1	3	1	+1	6
10	Valladolid	4	2	0	2	+0	6
11	Eibar	4	2	0	2	-1	6
12	Valencia	5	0	5	0	+0	5
13	Ath Bilbao	5	1	2	2	-4	5
14	Getafe	4	1	1	2	-1	4
15	Levante	4	1	1	2	-4	4
16	Girona	5	1	1	3	-4	4
17	Sociedad	3	0	1	2	-2	1
18	Huesca	3	0	1	2	-2	1
19	Villarreal	4	0	1	3	-3	1
20	Vallecano	3	0	1	2	-7	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sociedad	5	3	1	1	+3	10
2	Sevilla	4	3	0	1	+8	9
3	Levante	5	3	0	2	+3	9
4	Alaves	5	3	0	2	+2	9
5	Villarreal	4	2	1	1	+2	7
6	Barcelona	4	2	1	1	+1	7
7	Valladolid	4	1	3	0	+1	6
8	Girona	3	1	2	0	+1	5
9	Getafe	4	1	2	1	+0	5
10	Ath Madrid	4	1	2	1	+0	5
11	Betis	4	1	2	1	+0	5
12	Valencia	4	1	2	1	-1	5
13	Celta	4	1	1	2	-1	4
14	Real Madrid	4	1	1	2	-1	4
15	Vallecano	4	1	1	2	-1	4
16	Eibar	4	1	1	2	-2	4
17	Huesca	5	1	1	3	-9	4
18	Ath Bilbao	2	0	2	0	+0	2
19	Espanol	4	0	2	2	-2	2
20	Leganes	5	0	1	4	-6	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.