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Championship
Referee: Gavin Ward
Hull
T T U T T
1–1
Full-time
Preston
T T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hull Preston
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,7
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
33%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,0
4,7
Scored
0,7
2,2
Conceded
1,3
2,5
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,3
This season — Championship · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
42%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,4
3,5
Scored
0,8
1,5
Conceded
1,6
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

41% Possession 59%
14 Shots 14
5 Shots on target 4
5 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
8 Corners 3
4 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hull 24. · Preston 22.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Middlesbrough 13 7 4 2 +9 25
2 Sheffield United 12 8 1 3 +8 25
3 West Brom 12 7 3 2 +14 24
4 Blackburn 13 5 6 2 +0 21
5 Leeds 12 5 5 2 +9 20
6 Nott'm Forest 12 4 7 1 +4 19
7 Sheffield Weds 13 5 4 4 +0 19
8 Brentford 12 4 6 2 +6 18
9 Derby 11 5 3 3 +5 18
10 Norwich 12 5 3 4 +0 18
11 Swansea 12 4 5 3 +3 17
12 Wigan 12 5 2 5 -2 17
13 Bristol City 12 4 4 4 +2 16
14 Stoke 12 4 4 4 -1 16
15 Aston Villa 12 3 6 3 +0 15
16 Bolton 12 4 3 5 -5 15
17 Birmingham 12 2 8 2 +1 14
18 QPR 12 4 2 6 -10 14
19 Rotherham 12 3 2 7 -10 11
20 Millwall 12 2 4 6 -6 10
21 Reading 12 2 3 7 -5 9
22 Preston 12 2 3 7 -6 9
23 Ipswich 12 1 6 5 -7 9
24 Hull 12 2 2 8 -9 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hull Preston
Jackson Irvine 🟨
13′
Half-time 0–0
59′
🔁 C. Robinson
↦ R. Ledson
64′
🔁 P. Gallagher
↦ S. Maguire
66′
🟨 Darnell Fisher
68′
🟨 Andrew Hughes
71′
🔁 L. Moult
↦ L. Nmecha
81′
🟨 Ben Davies
84′
🟨 Jordan Storey
1–0 J. Bowen
85′
F. Campbell 🔁
↦ C. Martin
87′
N. Dicko 🔁
↦ K. Grosicki
91′
93′
L. Moult 1–1
D. Fisher
K. Stewart 🔁
↦ D. Batty
95′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Hull

3-4-2-1
1 D. Marshall G
35 T. Elphick D
2 E. Lichaj D
4 J. de Wijs D
17 T. Kane M
5 R. Burke D
16 J. Irvine M
18 D. Batty M
14 K. Grosicki M
29 C. Martin F
20 J. Bowen M
Bench (7)
25 F. Campbell
6 K. Stewart
9 N. Dicko
12 G. Long
19 W. Keane
28 M. Sheaf
27 R. McKenzie

Coach: N. Adkins

Preston

4-2-3-1
22 C. Maxwell G
16 A. Hughes D
2 D. Fisher D
6 B. Davies D
14 J. Storey D
11 D. Johnson M
8 A. Browne M
21 B. Barker F
18 R. Ledson M
24 S. Maguire F
45 L. Nmecha F
Bench (7)
7 C. Robinson
12 P. Gallagher
9 L. Moult
1 D. Rudd
3 J. Earl
19 G. Burke
23 P. Huntington

Coach: A. Neil

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Gavin Ward · 49 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
18,6 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.