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Eliteserien

Referee: Dag Vidar Hafsaas

Molde

U S S S S

2–2

Full-time

Sarpsborg 08

T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Molde Sarpsborg 08

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

2,2

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,8

2,7

Scored

1,7

0,7

Conceded

1,2

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-1,3

This season — Eliteserien · 25/25 matches

Win Ø 46%

56%

36%

Points per game

1,8

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 66%

68%

64%

Both score Ø 60%

56%

64%

Average goals

3,2

3,0

Scored

2,0

1,6

Conceded

1,2

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

71% Possession 29%

22 Shots 10

8 Shots on target 5

4 Blocked shots 0

3 Goalkeeper saves 6

5 Corners 2

1 Offside 3

9 Free kicks against 9

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Molde 3. · Sarpsborg 08 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rosenborg	25	16	5	4	+23	53
2	Brann	25	14	7	4	+13	49
3	Molde	25	14	4	7	+19	46
4	Haugesund	25	13	5	7	+9	44
5	Ranheim	25	11	5	9	-4	38
6	Odd	25	10	7	8	+8	37
7	Valerenga	25	10	7	8	-2	37
8	Kristiansund	25	9	7	9	+1	34
9	Tromso	25	10	3	12	-2	33
10	Sarpsborg 08	25	9	5	11	+4	32
11	Bodo/Glimt	25	6	9	10	-3	27
12	Stromsgodset	25	6	8	11	-1	26
13	Lillestrom	25	6	8	11	-11	26
14	Start	25	7	5	13	-17	26
15	Stabaek	25	5	9	11	-14	24
16	Sandefjord	25	2	10	13	-23	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Molde	13	10	0	3	+21	30
2	Rosenborg	13	8	4	1	+16	28
3	Brann	12	7	4	1	+11	25
4	Odd	13	7	3	3	+13	24
5	Ranheim	12	7	3	2	+9	24
6	Tromso	12	7	2	3	+12	23
7	Haugesund	12	7	2	3	+5	23
8	Kristiansund	13	6	4	3	+7	22
9	Valerenga	12	6	4	2	+5	22
10	Sarpsborg 08	13	6	2	5	+10	20
11	Stabaek	12	5	5	2	+3	20
12	Start	13	6	2	5	+0	20
13	Lillestrom	12	4	6	2	+2	18
14	Bodo/Glimt	13	4	4	5	+4	16
15	Stromsgodset	13	4	3	6	+5	15
16	Sandefjord	12	1	4	7	-8	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rosenborg	12	8	1	3	+7	25
2	Brann	13	7	3	3	+2	24
3	Haugesund	13	6	3	4	+4	21
4	Molde	12	4	4	4	-2	16
5	Valerenga	13	4	3	6	-7	15
6	Ranheim	13	4	2	7	-13	14
7	Odd	12	3	4	5	-5	13
8	Kristiansund	12	3	3	6	-6	12
9	Sarpsborg 08	12	3	3	6	-6	12
10	Stromsgodset	12	2	5	5	-6	11
11	Bodo/Glimt	12	2	5	5	-7	11
12	Tromso	13	3	1	9	-14	10
13	Sandefjord	13	1	6	6	-15	9
14	Lillestrom	13	2	2	9	-13	8
15	Start	12	1	3	8	-17	6
16	Stabaek	13	0	4	9	-17	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.