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La Liga

Referee: Eduardo Prieto Iglesias

Ath Madrid

S U T S S

0–0

Full-time

Villarreal

U U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Madrid Villarreal

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,2

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

50%

17%

Both score Ø 25%

33%

17%

Average goals

2,2

1,3

Scored

1,7

1,0

Conceded

0,5

0,3

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+0,7

This season — La Liga · 24/24 matches

Win Ø 65%

71%

58%

Points per game

2,3

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

29%

38%

Both score Ø 36%

29%

42%

Average goals

1,9

2,0

Scored

1,5

1,3

Conceded

0,5

0,8

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

59% Possession 41%

13 Shots 5

4 Shots on target 0

2 Blocked shots 1

0 Goalkeeper saves 4

10 Corners 2

1 Offside 1

0 Free kicks against 0

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ath Madrid 3. · Villarreal 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	25	20	3	2	+47	63
2	Real Madrid	25	16	6	3	+47	54
3	Ath Madrid	24	17	3	4	+24	54
4	Villarreal	24	14	6	4	+12	48
5	Sevilla	25	11	8	6	+10	41
6	Celta	25	11	5	9	-6	38
7	Eibar	25	10	6	9	+6	36
8	Ath Bilbao	25	10	5	10	+0	35
9	Sociedad	25	9	6	10	+1	33
10	La Coruna	25	6	14	5	+2	32
11	Valencia	25	7	10	8	+4	31
12	Malaga	25	8	7	10	+0	31
13	Betis	25	6	9	10	-15	27
14	Getafe	25	7	5	13	-13	26
15	Vallecano	25	6	7	12	-17	25
16	Espanol	25	7	4	14	-26	25
17	Sp Gijon	25	6	6	13	-14	24
18	Las Palmas	25	5	6	14	-16	21
19	Levante	25	5	5	15	-21	20
20	Granada	25	5	5	15	-25	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	13	12	1	0	+37	37
2	Real Madrid	13	11	1	1	+37	34
3	Sevilla	13	11	0	2	+16	33
4	Villarreal	13	10	2	1	+12	32
5	Ath Madrid	11	8	2	1	+9	26
6	Eibar	13	7	3	3	+9	24
7	Ath Bilbao	12	6	3	3	+10	21
8	Getafe	13	6	3	4	+8	21
9	Celta	13	6	3	4	+1	21
10	Valencia	12	4	7	1	+7	19
11	Malaga	12	5	4	3	+7	19
12	Espanol	12	5	4	3	-6	19
13	Sociedad	12	5	3	4	+3	18
14	Vallecano	13	5	3	5	+0	18
15	Las Palmas	13	5	3	5	+0	18
16	La Coruna	12	3	7	2	+5	16
17	Levante	13	4	3	6	-4	15
18	Sp Gijon	12	3	4	5	-1	13
19	Betis	12	2	5	5	-8	11
20	Granada	12	3	2	7	-9	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	13	9	1	3	+15	28
2	Barcelona	12	8	2	2	+10	26
3	Real Madrid	12	5	5	2	+10	20
4	Celta	12	5	2	5	-7	17
5	Villarreal	11	4	4	3	+0	16
6	La Coruna	13	3	7	3	-3	16
7	Betis	13	4	4	5	-7	16
8	Sociedad	13	4	3	6	-2	15
9	Ath Bilbao	13	4	2	7	-10	14
10	Eibar	12	3	3	6	-3	12
11	Valencia	13	3	3	7	-3	12
12	Malaga	13	3	3	7	-7	12
13	Sp Gijon	13	3	2	8	-13	11
14	Granada	13	2	3	8	-16	9
15	Sevilla	12	0	8	4	-6	8
16	Vallecano	12	1	4	7	-17	7
17	Espanol	13	2	0	11	-20	6
18	Levante	12	1	2	9	-17	5
19	Getafe	12	1	2	9	-21	5
20	Las Palmas	12	0	3	9	-16	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.