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Ligue 1
Referee: M Lesage
Paris SG
S S S S S
5–0
Full-time
Amiens
T T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Paris SG Amiens
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
100%
33%
Points per game
3,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
4,5
2,3
Scored
3,8
1,0
Conceded
0,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
+3,2
-0,3
This season — Ligue 1 · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 67%
100%
33%
Points per game
3,0
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 78%
100%
56%
Both score Ø 56%
56%
56%
Average goals
4,2
2,7
Scored
3,6
1,2
Conceded
0,7
1,4
Goal diff per game
+2,9
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

58% Possession 42%
16 Shots 8
8 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
10 Corners 5
2 Offside 4
12 Free kicks against 10
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Paris SG 1. · Amiens 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 9 9 0 0 +26 27
2 Lille 9 6 1 2 +10 19
3 Lyon 10 5 2 3 +4 17
4 Marseille 9 5 1 3 +5 16
5 Montpellier 9 4 4 1 +5 16
6 St Etienne 9 4 3 2 -1 15
7 Bordeaux 9 4 2 3 +2 14
8 Toulouse 9 3 4 2 -2 13
9 Strasbourg 9 3 3 3 +3 12
10 Angers 9 3 2 4 -1 11
11 Rennes 9 3 2 4 -2 11
12 Nice 9 3 2 4 -6 11
13 Amiens 9 3 1 5 -2 10
14 Caen 9 2 4 3 -3 10
15 Dijon 9 3 1 5 -4 10
16 Nimes 10 2 4 4 -5 10
17 Reims 9 2 4 3 -5 10
18 Monaco 9 1 3 5 -4 6
19 Nantes 9 1 3 5 -8 6
20 Guingamp 9 1 2 6 -12 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Paris SG Amiens
1–0 Marquinhos
Á. Di María
12′
2–0 A. Rabiot
Á. Di María
42′
Half-time 2–0
L. Diarra 🔁
↦ M. Verratti
46′
M. Diaby 🔁
↦ Á. Di María
59′
67′
🔁 M. Konaté
↦ O. El Hajjam
74′
🔁 M. Bodmer
↦ Ganso
3–0 J. Draxler
80′
81′
🔁 A. Blin
↦ E. Gnahoré
4–0 K. Mbappé
M. Diaby
82′
K. Rimane 🔁
↦ A. Rabiot
86′
5–0 M. Diaby
87′
Full-time 5–0

Line-ups

Paris SG

4-3-3
16 A. Areola G
5 Marquinhos D
14 Juan Bernat D
4 T. Kehrer D
11 Á. Di María F
6 M. Verratti M
23 J. Draxler M
25 A. Rabiot M
24 C. Nkunku M
9 E. Cavani F
7 K. Mbappé F
Bench (7)
19 L. Diarra
27 M. Diaby
32 K. Rimane
1 G. Buffon
17 E. Choupo-Moting
28 A. Bernede
34 S. Nsoki

Coach: T. Tuchel

Amiens

4-4-1-1
1 R. Gurtner G
3 K. Adénon D
2 P. Gouano D
4 E. Krafth D
19 O. El Hajjam D
12 B. Dibassy D
8 Ganso M
6 T. Monconduit M
5 E. Gnahoré M
7 S. Ghoddos F
11 F. Otero F
Bench (7)
15 M. Konaté
24 M. Bodmer
17 A. Blin
16 M. Dreyer
20 C. Timite
21 R. Kurzawa
25 J. Lefort

Coach: C. Pélissier

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Lesage · 143 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.