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Championship
Referee: Jeremy Simpson
Wigan
S S T U T
1–0
Full-time
West Brom
S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Wigan West Brom
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,2
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
17%
83%
Average goals
1,8
4,0
Scored
0,5
2,7
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+1,3
This season — Championship · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 50%
42%
58%
Points per game
1,4
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
2,5
4,0
Scored
1,2
2,6
Conceded
1,3
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

45% Possession 55%
11 Shots 7
3 Shots on target 1
2 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 3
3 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 14
3 Yellow cards 6
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Wigan 12. · West Brom 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Middlesbrough 13 7 4 2 +9 25
2 Sheffield United 12 8 1 3 +8 25
3 West Brom 12 7 3 2 +14 24
4 Blackburn 13 5 6 2 +0 21
5 Leeds 12 5 5 2 +9 20
6 Nott'm Forest 12 4 7 1 +4 19
7 Sheffield Weds 13 5 4 4 +0 19
8 Brentford 12 4 6 2 +6 18
9 Derby 11 5 3 3 +5 18
10 Norwich 12 5 3 4 +0 18
11 Swansea 12 4 5 3 +3 17
12 Wigan 12 5 2 5 -2 17
13 Bristol City 12 4 4 4 +2 16
14 Stoke 12 4 4 4 -1 16
15 Aston Villa 12 3 6 3 +0 15
16 Bolton 12 4 3 5 -5 15
17 Birmingham 12 2 8 2 +1 14
18 QPR 12 4 2 6 -10 14
19 Rotherham 12 3 2 7 -10 11
20 Millwall 12 2 4 6 -6 10
21 Reading 12 2 3 7 -5 9
22 Preston 12 2 3 7 -6 9
23 Ipswich 12 1 6 5 -7 9
24 Hull 12 2 2 8 -9 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Wigan West Brom
Sam Morsy 🟨
18′
Reece James 🟨
19′
24′
🟨 Craig Dawson
28′
🟨 Jay Rodriguez
34′
🟨 Jake Livermore
Half-time 0–0
48′
🟨 Harvey Barnes
49′
🔁 T. Adarabioyo
↦ C. Dawson
58′
🟨 Chris Brunt
Cheyenne Dunkley 🟨
59′
1–0 J. Windass
N. Powell
74′
76′
🔁 H. Robson-Kanu
↦ D. Gayle
78′
🔁 K. Edwards
↦ T. Mears
84′
🟨 Jake Livermore
84′
🟥 Jake Livermore
C. Connolly 🔁
↦ N. Powell
87′
K. Naismith 🔁
↦ G. Roberts
90′
J. Vaughan 🔁
↦ N. Byrne
92′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Wigan

4-4-1-1
1 C. Walton G
33 D. Burn D
22 C. Dunkley D
21 C. Kipre D
12 R. James D
18 G. Roberts M
5 Sam Morsy M
25 N. Powell M
2 N. Byrne M
36 L. Evans M
10 J. Windass M
Bench (7)
26 C. Connolly
8 J. Vaughan
20 K. Naismith
41 J. Garner
15 C. McManaman
19 Leonardo Lopes
23 J. Jones

Coach: P. Cook

West Brom

3-4-1-2
1 S. Johnstone G
12 T. Mears D
3 K. Gibbs D
25 C. Dawson D
26 Ahmed Hegazi D
5 K. Bartley D
11 C. Brunt M
8 J. Livermore M
15 H. Barnes F
19 J. Rodriguez F
16 D. Gayle F
Bench (7)
24 T. Adarabioyo
4 H. Robson-Kanu
21 K. Edwards
13 G. Myhill
14 C. Townsend
22 W. Hoolahan
28 S. Field

Coach: D. Moore

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Jeremy Simpson · 104 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.