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Pro League

Referee: Wim Smet

Genk

S S U S S

2–1

Full-time

Eupen

S U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genk Eupen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

83%

50%

Points per game

2,7

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

4,7

2,3

Scored

3,3

1,3

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

+2,0

+0,3

This season — Pro League · 8/10 matches

Win Ø 53%

75%

30%

Points per game

2,5

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 78%

75%

80%

Both score Ø 67%

63%

70%

Average goals

4,3

3,5

Scored

3,1

1,3

Conceded

1,1

2,2

Goal diff per game

+2,0

-0,9

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

65% Possession 35%

19 Shots 5

8 Shots on target 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 6

13 Corners 5

0 Offside 1

7 Free kicks against 14

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Genk 1. · Eupen 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Genk	8	6	2	0	+16	20
2	Club Brugge	7	6	1	0	+15	19
3	Antwerp	8	6	1	1	+7	19
4	St Truiden	11	4	5	2	+3	17
5	Anderlecht	6	5	1	0	+10	16
6	Kortrijk	11	4	2	5	-2	14
7	Oostende	10	4	2	4	-3	14
8	Gent	6	4	1	1	+7	13
9	Standard	8	3	4	1	+5	13
10	Cercle Brugge	10	3	3	4	-7	12
11	Charleroi	10	3	2	5	-1	11
12	Beveren	11	1	7	3	-2	10
13	Eupen	10	3	1	6	-9	10
14	Royal Excel Mouscron	11	1	2	8	-12	5
15	Lokeren	11	1	2	8	-13	5
16	Waregem	10	1	2	7	-14	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Club Brugge	5	4	1	0	+11	13
2	St Truiden	5	3	2	0	+5	11
3	Genk	4	3	1	0	+7	10
4	Antwerp	4	3	1	0	+6	10
5	Cercle Brugge	5	3	0	2	-2	9
6	Anderlecht	3	2	1	0	+5	7
7	Gent	4	2	1	1	+3	7
8	Oostende	5	2	1	2	-1	7
9	Charleroi	5	2	0	3	-1	6
10	Standard	3	1	2	0	+1	5
11	Beveren	5	0	5	0	+0	5
12	Waregem	5	1	1	3	-2	4
13	Kortrijk	5	1	1	3	-4	4
14	Royal Excel Mouscron	6	1	1	4	-5	4
15	Lokeren	5	1	1	3	-8	4
16	Eupen	5	1	0	4	-5	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Genk	4	3	1	0	+9	10
2	Kortrijk	6	3	1	2	+2	10
3	Anderlecht	3	3	0	0	+5	9
4	Antwerp	4	3	0	1	+1	9
5	Standard	5	2	2	1	+4	8
6	Oostende	5	2	1	2	-2	7
7	Eupen	5	2	1	2	-4	7
8	Gent	2	2	0	0	+4	6
9	Club Brugge	2	2	0	0	+4	6
10	St Truiden	6	1	3	2	-2	6
11	Charleroi	5	1	2	2	+0	5
12	Beveren	6	1	2	3	-2	5
13	Cercle Brugge	5	0	3	2	-5	3
14	Lokeren	6	0	1	5	-5	1
15	Royal Excel Mouscron	5	0	1	4	-7	1
16	Waregem	5	0	1	4	-12	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.