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La Liga

Referee: Pablo Gonzales Fuertes

Ath Madrid

U S T U S

3–0

Full-time

Huesca

S U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Madrid Huesca

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/5 matches

Win Ø 27%

33%

20%

Points per game

1,5

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 39%

17%

60%

Both score Ø 55%

50%

60%

Average goals

2,2

3,8

Scored

1,2

Conceded

1,0

2,6

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-1,4

This season — La Liga · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 30%

40%

20%

Points per game

1,6

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 30%

60%

Both score Ø 50%

40%

60%

Average goals

1,8

3,8

Scored

1,0

1,2

Conceded

0,8

2,6

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-1,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

58% Possession 42%

17 Shots 8

5 Shots on target 1

6 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 3

1 Offside 2

1 Free kicks against 14

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ath Madrid 6. · Huesca 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	5	4	1	0	+11	13
2	Real Madrid	5	4	1	0	+9	13
3	Alaves	5	3	1	1	+3	10
4	Espanol	6	3	1	2	+2	10
5	Celta	5	2	2	1	+2	8
6	Ath Madrid	5	2	2	1	+1	8
7	Sociedad	6	2	2	2	+0	8
8	Girona	5	2	2	1	-1	8
9	Sevilla	5	2	1	2	+4	7
10	Getafe	5	2	1	2	+0	7
11	Eibar	6	2	1	3	-2	7
12	Ath Bilbao	4	1	3	0	+1	6
13	Betis	5	1	3	1	-2	6
14	Villarreal	5	1	2	2	-1	5
15	Valencia	5	0	4	1	-2	4
16	Levante	5	1	1	3	-3	4
17	Huesca	5	1	1	3	-7	4
18	Vallecano	5	1	1	3	-7	4
19	Valladolid	5	0	3	2	-2	3
20	Leganes	5	0	1	4	-6	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	3	3	0	0	+6	9
2	Espanol	3	3	0	0	+4	9
3	Barcelona	3	2	1	0	+9	7
4	Eibar	3	2	0	1	+1	6
5	Celta	3	1	2	0	+2	5
6	Ath Bilbao	3	1	2	0	+1	5
7	Alaves	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Ath Madrid	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Getafe	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Girona	3	1	1	1	-2	4
11	Betis	3	1	1	1	-2	4
12	Valencia	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	Sociedad	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Leganes	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Villarreal	3	0	1	2	-2	1
16	Sevilla	2	0	1	1	-2	1
17	Levante	3	0	1	2	-5	1
18	Valladolid	2	0	0	2	-2	0
19	Huesca	2	0	0	2	-2	0
20	Vallecano	2	0	0	2	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sociedad	4	2	1	1	+1	7
2	Sevilla	3	2	0	1	+6	6
3	Alaves	3	2	0	1	+2	6
4	Barcelona	2	2	0	0	+2	6
5	Real Madrid	2	1	1	0	+3	4
6	Girona	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Villarreal	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Ath Madrid	3	1	1	1	+0	4
9	Vallecano	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Huesca	3	1	1	1	-5	4
11	Levante	2	1	0	1	+2	3
12	Celta	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Valladolid	3	0	3	0	+0	3
14	Getafe	2	1	0	1	+0	3
15	Betis	2	0	2	0	+0	2
16	Valencia	3	0	2	1	-2	2
17	Ath Bilbao	1	0	1	0	+0	1
18	Espanol	3	0	1	2	-2	1
19	Eibar	3	0	1	2	-3	1
20	Leganes	3	0	0	3	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.