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La Liga
Referee: Pablo Gonzales Fuertes
Leganes
T S T U T
0–1
Full-time
Villarreal
S U T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Leganes Villarreal
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
100%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
4,2
3,3
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
2,7
2,0
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-0,7
This season — La Liga · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,3
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
100%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
100%
33%
Average goals
4,0
1,3
Scored
1,3
0,3
Conceded
2,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,3
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

46% Possession 54%
16 Shots 9
3 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 1
3 Offside 3
16 Free kicks against 9
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Leganes 20. · Villarreal 19.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 4 4 0 0 +11 12
2 Real Madrid 4 3 1 0 +8 10
3 Celta 3 2 1 0 +3 7
4 Ath Bilbao 3 1 2 0 +1 5
5 Ath Madrid 4 1 2 1 -1 5
6 Betis 4 1 2 1 -2 5
7 Levante 3 1 1 1 +2 4
8 Sevilla 3 1 1 1 +2 4
9 Espanol 3 1 1 1 +1 4
10 Getafe 3 1 1 1 +0 4
11 Sociedad 4 1 1 2 -1 4
12 Eibar 4 1 1 2 -2 4
13 Alaves 3 1 1 1 -2 4
14 Girona 3 1 1 1 -2 4
15 Huesca 4 1 1 2 -6 4
16 Valencia 4 0 3 1 -2 3
17 Vallecano 3 1 0 2 -3 3
18 Valladolid 3 0 2 1 -1 2
19 Villarreal 3 0 1 2 -2 1
20 Leganes 3 0 1 2 -4 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Line-ups

Leganes

4-2-3-1
1 Pichu Cuéllar G
22 D. Siovas D
12 A. Nyom D
5 J. Silva D
3 Bustinza D
10 N. El Zhar M
21 Rubén Pérez M
17 Eraso M
6 Gerard Gumbau M
9 G. Carrillo F
4 D. Rolan F
Bench (7)
20 Michael Santos
27 Óscar Rodríguez
2 Juanfran
13 Serantes
23 Mikel Vesga
24 K. Omeruo
26 Y. En-Nesyri

Coach: M. Pellegrino

Villarreal

4-4-2
1 Sergio Asenjo G
2 Mario Gaspar D
11 Jaume Costa D
6 Víctor Ruíz D
24 M. Layún D
3 Álvaro González D
14 Trigueros M
28 Manu Morlanes M
7 Gerard Moreno F
17 K. Toko Ekambi F
22 Dani Raba M
Bench (7)
8 Pablo Fornals
9 C. Bacca
20 M. Iturra
4 Ramiro Funes Mori
13 Andrés Fernández
16 Alfonso Pedraza
19 Santi Cazorla

Coach: Javi Calleja

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Pablo Gonzales Fuertes · 49 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.