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La Liga
Referee: Alberto Undiano
Ath Madrid
T U S S U
1–0
Full-time
Betis
S U U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Madrid Betis
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
17%
17%
Both score Ø 17%
17%
17%
Average goals
1,7
1,2
Scored
1,2
0,8
Conceded
0,5
0,3
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,5
This season — La Liga · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 43%
43%
43%
Points per game
1,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 22%
14%
29%
Both score Ø 22%
29%
14%
Average goals
1,7
1,4
Scored
1,1
0,7
Conceded
0,6
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,6
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

36% Possession 64%
13 Shots 5
4 Shots on target 0
1 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 4
16 Free kicks against 10
5 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ath Madrid 5. · Betis 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 7 4 2 1 +10 14
2 Real Madrid 8 4 2 2 +5 14
3 Alaves 8 4 2 2 +3 14
4 Sevilla 7 4 1 2 +9 13
5 Ath Madrid 7 3 3 1 +4 12
6 Valladolid 8 3 3 2 +1 12
7 Betis 7 3 3 1 +0 12
8 Espanol 7 3 2 2 +2 11
9 Sociedad 8 3 2 3 +1 11
10 Celta 7 2 4 1 +2 10
11 Levante 8 3 1 4 -2 10
12 Eibar 8 3 1 4 -3 10
13 Getafe 8 2 3 3 -1 9
14 Girona 8 2 3 3 -3 9
15 Villarreal 7 2 2 3 +1 8
16 Valencia 7 1 5 1 -1 8
17 Ath Bilbao 7 1 4 2 -4 7
18 Leganes 8 2 1 5 -5 7
19 Vallecano 7 1 2 4 -8 5
20 Huesca 8 1 2 5 -11 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ath Madrid Betis
17′
🔁 William Carvalho
↦ A. Guardado
41′
🟨 Junior Firpo
Half-time 0–0
Juanfran 🟨
47′
Á. Correa 🔁
↦ T. Lemar
57′
Diego Godín 🟨
58′
T. Partey 🔁
↦ N. Kalinić
66′
66′
🔁 Cristian Tello
↦ Joaquín
S. Arias 🔁
↦ Juanfran
74′
1–0 Á. Correa
T. Partey
74′
Filipe Luís 🟨
77′
Saúl Ñíguez 🟨
78′
81′
🔁 A. Sanabria
↦ Francis Guerrero
Lucas Hernández 🟨
88′
90′
🟨 Sergio Canales
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Ath Madrid

4-4-2
13 J. Oblak G
20 Juanfran D
3 Filipe Luis D
2 D. Godín D
21 L. Hernández D
8 Saúl M
6 Koke M
11 T. Lemar M
14 Rodri Hernández M
9 N. Kalinić F
7 A. Griezmann F
Bench (7)
10 Á. Correa
5 T. Partey
4 S. Arias
1 Adán
18 Gelson Martins
32 Borja Garcés
35 Francisco Montero

Coach: D. Simeone

Betis

3-4-2-1
13 Pau López G
12 Sidnei D
23 A. Mandi D
5 Bartra D
20 Junior Firpo M
17 Joaquín M
18 A. Guardado M
6 Canales M
21 G. Lo Celso M
2 Francis Guerrero M
16 Loren Morón F
Bench (7)
14 William Carvalho
11 Cristian Tello
9 A. Sanabria
1 Joel Robles
3 Javi García
8 T. Inui
10 R. Boudebouz

Coach: Quique Setién

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Alberto Undiano · 79 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.