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Eredivisie

Referee: Bernie Raymond Blom

Utrecht

U T T U S

2–1

Full-time

AZ Alkmaar

T U S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Utrecht AZ Alkmaar

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

2,2

3,3

Scored

1,0

1,3

Conceded

1,2

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,7

This season — Eredivisie · 8/8 matches

Win Ø 32%

25%

38%

Points per game

1,1

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

38%

75%

Both score Ø 63%

63%

Average goals

2,4

3,8

Scored

1,0

2,1

Conceded

1,4

1,6

Goal diff per game

-0,4

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

42% Possession 58%

13 Shots 13

5 Shots on target 8

3 Blocked shots 1

5 Goalkeeper saves 4

7 Corners 4

1 Offside 2

7 Free kicks against 12

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Utrecht 13. · AZ Alkmaar 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	9	9	0	0	+33	27
2	Ajax	8	6	1	1	+17	19
3	Feyenoord	8	5	2	1	+7	17
4	Heracles	8	5	1	2	+1	16
5	AZ Alkmaar	8	3	3	2	+4	12
6	Excelsior	9	3	3	3	-2	12
7	VVV Venlo	8	3	2	3	-1	11
8	Den Haag	8	3	2	3	-5	11
9	Heerenveen	8	2	4	2	+2	10
10	Zwolle	8	3	1	4	-2	10
11	Willem II	8	2	3	3	-1	9
12	Vitesse	8	2	3	3	-1	9
13	Utrecht	8	2	3	3	-3	9
14	FC Emmen	9	2	2	5	-14	8
15	For Sittard	8	1	4	3	-4	7
16	De Graafschap	8	2	1	5	-11	7
17	Groningen	7	1	1	5	-7	4
18	NAC Breda	8	1	0	7	-13	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	5	5	0	0	+22	15
2	Heracles	4	4	0	0	+8	12
3	Feyenoord	4	4	0	0	+7	12
4	Ajax	4	3	1	0	+13	10
5	Excelsior	5	2	2	1	+1	8
6	Utrecht	4	2	1	1	+2	7
7	AZ Alkmaar	4	1	3	0	+5	6
8	De Graafschap	5	2	0	3	-4	6
9	Den Haag	4	2	0	2	-5	6
10	Willem II	4	1	2	1	+4	5
11	VVV Venlo	3	1	1	1	+2	4
12	Vitesse	3	1	1	1	+0	4
13	Zwolle	4	1	0	3	-2	3
14	NAC Breda	4	1	0	3	-2	3
15	For Sittard	4	0	2	2	-3	2
16	Heerenveen	4	0	2	2	-4	2
17	FC Emmen	4	0	2	2	-4	2
18	Groningen	4	0	1	3	-4	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	4	4	0	0	+11	12
2	Ajax	4	3	0	1	+4	9
3	Heerenveen	4	2	2	0	+6	8
4	Zwolle	4	2	1	1	+0	7
5	VVV Venlo	5	2	1	2	-3	7
6	AZ Alkmaar	4	2	0	2	-1	6
7	FC Emmen	5	2	0	3	-10	6
8	Den Haag	4	1	2	1	+0	5
9	Feyenoord	4	1	2	1	+0	5
10	For Sittard	4	1	2	1	-1	5
11	Vitesse	5	1	2	2	-1	5
12	Excelsior	4	1	1	2	-3	4
13	Willem II	4	1	1	2	-5	4
14	Heracles	4	1	1	2	-7	4
15	Groningen	3	1	0	2	-3	3
16	Utrecht	4	0	2	2	-5	2
17	De Graafschap	3	0	1	2	-7	1
18	NAC Breda	4	0	0	4	-11	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.