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Eredivisie

Referee: Bjorn Kuipers

Excelsior

T U U S T

2–0

Full-time

Vitesse

T S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Excelsior Vitesse

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

3,5

2,5

Scored

1,7

1,3

Conceded

1,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,2

This season — Eredivisie · 8/7 matches

Win Ø 27%

25%

29%

Points per game

1,1

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 47%

50%

43%

Both score Ø 47%

50%

43%

Average goals

3,3

2,4

Scored

1,4

1,3

Conceded

1,9

1,1

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

44% Possession 56%

6 Shots 24

1 Shots on target 7

3 Blocked shots 3

7 Goalkeeper saves 0

9 Corners 13

4 Offside 0

11 Free kicks against 12

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Excelsior 13. · Vitesse 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	8	8	0	0	+27	24
2	Ajax	8	6	1	1	+17	19
3	Feyenoord	8	5	2	1	+7	17
4	Heracles	8	5	1	2	+1	16
5	AZ Alkmaar	8	3	3	2	+4	12
6	VVV Venlo	8	3	2	3	-1	11
7	Den Haag	8	3	2	3	-5	11
8	Heerenveen	8	2	4	2	+2	10
9	Zwolle	8	3	1	4	-2	10
10	Vitesse	7	2	3	2	+1	9
11	Willem II	8	2	3	3	-1	9
12	Utrecht	8	2	3	3	-3	9
13	Excelsior	8	2	3	3	-4	9
14	FC Emmen	8	2	2	4	-8	8
15	For Sittard	8	1	4	3	-4	7
16	De Graafschap	8	2	1	5	-11	7
17	Groningen	7	1	1	5	-7	4
18	NAC Breda	8	1	0	7	-13	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	4	4	0	0	+16	12
2	Heracles	4	4	0	0	+8	12
3	Feyenoord	4	4	0	0	+7	12
4	Ajax	4	3	1	0	+13	10
5	Utrecht	4	2	1	1	+2	7
6	AZ Alkmaar	4	1	3	0	+5	6
7	De Graafschap	5	2	0	3	-4	6
8	Den Haag	4	2	0	2	-5	6
9	Willem II	4	1	2	1	+4	5
10	Excelsior	4	1	2	1	-1	5
11	VVV Venlo	3	1	1	1	+2	4
12	Vitesse	3	1	1	1	+0	4
13	Zwolle	4	1	0	3	-2	3
14	NAC Breda	4	1	0	3	-2	3
15	For Sittard	4	0	2	2	-3	2
16	Heerenveen	4	0	2	2	-4	2
17	FC Emmen	4	0	2	2	-4	2
18	Groningen	4	0	1	3	-4	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	4	4	0	0	+11	12
2	Ajax	4	3	0	1	+4	9
3	Heerenveen	4	2	2	0	+6	8
4	Zwolle	4	2	1	1	+0	7
5	VVV Venlo	5	2	1	2	-3	7
6	AZ Alkmaar	4	2	0	2	-1	6
7	FC Emmen	4	2	0	2	-4	6
8	Vitesse	4	1	2	1	+1	5
9	Den Haag	4	1	2	1	+0	5
10	Feyenoord	4	1	2	1	+0	5
11	For Sittard	4	1	2	1	-1	5
12	Excelsior	4	1	1	2	-3	4
13	Willem II	4	1	1	2	-5	4
14	Heracles	4	1	1	2	-7	4
15	Groningen	3	1	0	2	-3	3
16	Utrecht	4	0	2	2	-5	2
17	De Graafschap	3	0	1	2	-7	1
18	NAC Breda	4	0	0	4	-11	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.