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OBOS-ligaen
Referee: T Hagen
Tromso
T U S S U
0–1
Full-time
Lillestrom
U S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tromso Lillestrom
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,7
Scored
1,2
1,8
Conceded
1,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,0
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 57%
71%
43%
Points per game
2,3
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
36%
50%
Both score Ø 43%
36%
50%
Average goals
2,4
2,5
Scored
1,7
1,4
Conceded
0,7
1,1
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Tromso 1. · Lillestrom 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Tromso 14 10 2 2 +14 32
2 Ranheim 14 9 0 5 +19 27
3 Sogndal 14 8 3 3 +14 27
4 Asane 15 7 4 4 +10 25
5 Sandnes ULF 15 7 3 5 -5 24
6 Lillestrom 14 6 5 3 +5 23
7 Stjørdals-Blink 15 6 4 5 +1 22
8 Grorud 15 5 6 4 +3 21
9 Raufoss 15 4 6 5 +0 18
10 Ull/Kisa 15 4 5 6 -3 17
11 KFUM Oslo 15 4 5 6 -4 17
12 Strommen 15 5 2 8 -6 17
13 Jerv 15 3 6 6 -12 15
14 Øygarden 15 3 5 7 -13 14
15 Kongsvinger 15 3 4 8 -11 13
16 Ham-Kam 15 2 4 9 -12 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Tromso Lillestrom
D. Berntsen 🔁
↦ E. Kitolano
9′
15′
T. Kallevåg 0–1
38′
🟨 E. B. Garnas
Half-time 0–1
M. Ahamed 🔁
↦ S. Opsahl
73′
82′
🟨 M. Amundsen
L. Saetra 🟨
84′
86′
🔁 M. Knudsen
↦ T. Kallevåg
T. Hafstad 🔁
↦ F. Azemi
88′
M. Ingebrigtsen 🟨
91′
92′
🔁 P. Slørdahl
↦ D. Gustafsson
95′
🟨 I. Matthew
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Tromso

1 J. Karlstrøm
39 L. Sætra
4 J. Gundersen
5 A. Jenssen
11 R. Jenssen
15 M. Andersen
8 K. Antonsen
21 E. Kitolano
18 S. Opsahl
10 M. Ingebrigtsen
7 F. Azemi
Bench (7)
17 D. Berntsen
19 M. Ahamed
24 T. Hafstad
3 J. Robertsen
12 E. Jacobsen
38 I. Vik
23 R. Norheim

Coach: G. Helstrup

Lillestrom

12 M. Christiansen
5 S. Rafn
23 M. Amundsen
4 E. Garnås
33 A. Melgalvis
7 T. Kallevåg
6 K. Kairinen
14 F. Krogstad
8 I. Mathew
90 D. Gustafsson
10 T. Olsen
Bench (7)
21 M. Knudsen
22 P. Slørdahl
3 S. Mikalsen
25 J. Coppens
26 L. Ranger
27 A. Sannes
35 E. Smidesang Edh

Coach: G. Bakke

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

T Hagen · 38 kamper i vår database

🟥 Red cards: 0,03 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.