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OBOS-ligaen
Referee: A Medic
Ranheim
T S U S T
1–1
Full-time
Lillestrom
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ranheim Lillestrom
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
33%
100%
Points per game
1,2
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,5
3,3
Scored
1,2
2,8
Conceded
1,3
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+2,3
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 18/19 matches
Win Ø 60%
61%
58%
Points per game
1,9
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
72%
53%
Both score Ø 57%
67%
47%
Average goals
4,1
2,7
Scored
2,6
1,8
Conceded
1,4
0,9
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Ranheim 4. · Lillestrom 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Tromso 21 14 4 3 +26 46
2 Lillestrom 19 11 5 3 +17 38
3 Sogndal 20 11 4 5 +17 37
4 Ranheim 18 11 1 6 +21 34
5 Asane 19 9 5 5 +12 32
6 Sandnes ULF 21 8 5 8 -9 29
7 Jerv 20 7 7 6 -7 28
8 KFUM Oslo 21 7 6 8 -4 27
9 Stjørdals-Blink 20 7 5 8 -1 26
10 Raufoss 20 6 7 7 +0 25
11 Strommen 21 7 4 10 -6 25
12 Grorud 21 6 6 9 -5 24
13 Ham-Kam 21 6 5 10 -7 23
14 Ull/Kisa 20 5 5 10 -14 20
15 Øygarden 21 4 5 12 -22 17
16 Kongsvinger 21 3 6 12 -18 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ranheim Lillestrom
14′
🟨 I. Matthew
Half-time 0–0
56′
🟨 D. Gustavsson
59′
🟨 T. Kallevag
S. Sørløkk 🔁
↦ Adrià Mateo
59′
63′
D. Gustafsson 0–1
66′
🔁 T. Svendsen
↦ T. Kallevåg
M. Karlsen 🔁
↦ S. Solli
70′
R. Williams 🔁
↦ T. Heggem
70′
81′
🟨 T. Svendsen
M. Blakstad 🔁
↦ V. Erlien
82′
J. Tromsdal 🔁
↦ E. Dønnem
82′
85′
🔁 B. Sigurðarson
↦ T. Olsen
85′
🔁 M. Knudsen
↦ F. Krogstad
M. Reginiussen 🟨
87′
1–1 S. Sørløkk
92′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Ranheim

1 E. Barli
3 D. Kvande
5 Ø. Alseth
2 C. Rismark
14 T. Heggem
7 M. Reginiussen
15 E. Tønne
11 E. Dønnem
10 V. Erlien
22 S. Solli
23 Adrià Mateo
Bench (9)
17 S. Sørløkk
9 M. Karlsen
16 R. Williams
6 M. Blakstad
21 J. Tromsdal
4 M. Lundal
12 M. Lenes
18 I. Rønning
26 S. Langås

Coach: S. Maalen

Lillestrom

12 M. Christiansen
5 S. Rafn
23 M. Amundsen
4 E. Garnås
33 A. Melgalvis
7 T. Kallevåg
6 K. Kairinen
14 F. Krogstad
8 I. Mathew
90 D. Gustafsson
10 T. Olsen
Bench (9)
11 T. Svendsen
16 B. Sigurðarson
21 M. Knudsen
3 S. Mikalsen
18 U. Mathisen
22 P. Slørdahl
25 J. Coppens
26 L. Ranger
9 T. Haraldsson

Coach: G. Bakke

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Medic · 77 kamper i vår database

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.