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OBOS-ligaen
Referee: H Sletner
Lillestrom
S S S S U
4–2
Full-time
Sandnes ULF
U T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lillestrom Sandnes ULF
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
83%
17%
Points per game
2,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,0
2,0
Scored
2,5
0,7
Conceded
0,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
+2,0
-0,7
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 20/21 matches
Win Ø 47%
55%
38%
Points per game
2,0
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
50%
62%
Both score Ø 56%
50%
62%
Average goals
2,7
3,3
Scored
1,8
1,4
Conceded
0,9
1,9
Goal diff per game
+0,9
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Lillestrom 2. · Sandnes ULF 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Tromso 22 14 4 4 +24 46
2 Lillestrom 20 11 6 3 +17 39
3 Sogndal 21 11 4 6 +16 37
4 Ranheim 20 11 2 7 +20 35
5 Asane 20 9 6 5 +12 33
6 Jerv 21 8 7 6 -5 31
7 Stjørdals-Blink 22 8 5 9 +0 29
8 Sandnes ULF 21 8 5 8 -9 29
9 KFUM Oslo 22 7 7 8 -4 28
10 Strommen 22 8 4 10 -5 28
11 Ham-Kam 22 7 5 10 -6 26
12 Ull/Kisa 22 7 5 10 -12 26
13 Raufoss 21 6 7 8 -1 25
14 Grorud 22 6 6 10 -6 24
15 Kongsvinger 22 4 6 12 -17 18
16 Øygarden 22 4 5 13 -24 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lillestrom Sandnes ULF
1–0 F. Krogstad
13′
16′
K. Eriksen 1–1
2–1 T. Haraldsson
25′
3–1 K. Kairinen
26′
Half-time 3–1
46′
🔁 M. Sande
↦ S. Ringberg
46′
🔁 C. Kronberg
↦ A. Sødlund
4–1 T. Olsen
47′
58′
🔁 M. Grødem
↦ A. Johansson
58′
🔁 J. Godoy
↦ K. Eriksen
B. Sigurðarson 🔁
↦ T. Olsen
64′
P. Slørdahl 🔁
↦ M. Amundsen
64′
M. Knudsen 🔁
↦ I. Mathew
65′
L. Ranger 🔁
↦ A. Melgalvis
65′
69′
C. Landu-Landu 4–2
P. Slordahl 🟨
73′
73′
🔁 C. Sleveland
↦ E. Berger
U. Mathisen 🔁
↦ T. Haraldsson
88′
Full-time 4–2

Line-ups

Lillestrom

12 M. Christiansen
5 S. Rafn
23 M. Amundsen
4 E. Garnås
33 A. Melgalvis
6 K. Kairinen
14 F. Krogstad
8 I. Mathew
9 T. Haraldsson
90 D. Gustafsson
10 T. Olsen
Bench (8)
16 B. Sigurðarson
22 P. Slørdahl
21 M. Knudsen
26 L. Ranger
18 U. Mathisen
3 S. Mikalsen
20 J. Brunes
25 J. Coppens

Coach: G. Bakke

Sandnes ULF

31 A. Falch
3 Á. Jónsson
2 E. Berger
22 J. Bogdanović
23 T. Salte
6 C. Landu-Landu
14 A. Hadzic
11 A. Johansson
25 S. Ringberg
30 K. Eriksen
21 A. Sødlund
Bench (7)
7 M. Sande
32 C. Kronberg
10 M. Grødem
19 J. Godoy
18 C. Sleveland
5 C. Hansen
40 S. Lønning

Coach: S. Landro

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.