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Europa League
Referee: Danny Makkelie
Plzen
U S U U T
5–1
Full-time
FK Crvena Zvezda
S S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Plzen FK Crvena Zvezda
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
50%
0%
Average goals
2,0
2,8
Scored
0,8
2,0
Conceded
1,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
0,0
3,0
Conceded
3,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
-3,0
+3,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

55% Possession 45%
11 Shots on target 2
7 Blocked shots 2
5 Corners 3
0 Offside 2
20 Free kicks against 16
1 Yellow cards 7
0 Red cards 1

Recent head-to-head meetings

20. Aug -26 FK Crvena Zvezda – Plzen 3–0

Match report

Plzen FK Crvena Zvezda
1–0 P. Adu ⚽
C. Souare
8′
11′
⚽ M. Ivanic 1–1
Half-time 1–1
50′
🟨 Franklin Tebo
Prince Kwabena Adu ❌
penalty missed
51′
54′
🟥 Osman Bukari
2–1 D. Visinsky ⚽
58′
60′
🔁 M. Bajo
↦ M. Ivanic
3–1 P. Hrosovsky ⚽
L. Cerv
63′
65′
🟨 Marko Arnautović
67′
🔁 J. Enem
↦ M. Arnautovic
T. Ladra 🔁
↦ P. Adu
72′
M. Vydra 🔁
↦ K. Spacil
72′
C. Kabongo 🔁
↦ D. Visinsky
72′
72′
🔁 Rodrigo
↦ T. Elsnik
A. Sojka 🔁
↦ C. Souare
79′
B. Faal 🔁
↦ L. Cerv
86′
4–1 C. Kabongo ⚽
90′
D. Krcik 🔁
↦ F. Prebsl
91′
92′
🟨 Jay Enem
94′
🟨 Rodrigão
95′
🔁 V. Lucic
↦ M. Cham
5–1 D. Krcik ⚽
C. Kabongo
96′
Tomáš Ladra 🟨
102′
102′
🟨 Derrick Luckassen
108′
🟨 Vasilije Kostov
108′
🟨 Rade Krunić
Full-time 5–1

Line-ups

Plzen

3-5-1-1
44 F. Wiegele G
98 F. Prebsl D
40 S. Dweh D
5 K. Spacil D
99 A. Memic M
6 L. Cerv M
17 P. Hrosovsky M
19 C. Souare M
14 M. Doski M
9 D. Visinsky F
80 P. Adu F
Bench (12)
1 D. Tapaj
37 D. Krcik
18 T. Ladra
12 A. Sojka
20 J. Panos
66 S. Bohac
36 S. Pirgic
11 M. Vydra
7 S. Lawal
10 M. Toure
25 C. Kabongo
23 B. Faal

Coach: Radoslav Kovac

FK Crvena Zvezda

3-4-3
1 Matheus G
32 D. Luckassen D
13 M. Veljkovic D
30 F. Tebo Uchenna D
22 V. Kostov M
33 R. Krunic M
21 T. Elsnik M
70 M. Cham M
14 O. Bukari F
7 M. Arnautovic F
4 M. Ivanic F
Bench (12)
50 S. Radanovic
77 I. Gutesa
5 Rodrigo
27 M. Strika
45 S. Gudelj
10 A. Katai
6 M. Bajo
60 M. Gashtarov
75 L. Loizou
37 V. Lucic
9 J. Enem
55 D. Saric

Coach: Albert Riera

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Danny Makkelie · 15 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,40 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.