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Europa League
Referee: Giorgi Kruashvili
Basel
S U U T S
0–1
Full-time
Plzen
S U U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Basel Plzen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
3,0
1,3
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
1,5
0,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 29%
29%
29%
Points per game
0,9
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
71%
29%
Both score Ø 57%
71%
43%
Average goals
3,0
1,4
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
1,7
0,4
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+0,6
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,82 xG 1,04
45% Possession 55%
13 Shots 15
3 Shots on target 3
6 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 7
0 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 16
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Basel Plzen
Jonas Adjei Adjetey 🟨
33′
39′
⚽ J. Panos 0–1
M. Doski
Kevin Rüegg 🟨
44′
Half-time 0–1
M. Salvi 🔁
↦ M. Hitz
46′
J. Agbonifo 🔁
↦ B. Traore
57′
L. Leroy 🔁
↦ K. Koindredi
57′
M. Cisse 🔁
↦ D. Schmid
64′
64′
🔁 D. Visinsky
↦ J. Panos
68′
🟨 Sampson Dweh
I. Salah 🔁
↦ P. Otele
79′
79′
🔁 C. Kabongo
↦ M. Valenta
93′
🟨 Amar Memić
94′
🔁 A. Novak
↦ C. Souare
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Basel

4-2-3-1
1 M. Hitz G
27 K. Ruegg D
32 J. Adjetey D
24 F. Daniliuc D
31 D. Schmid D
28 D. Kacuri M
8 K. Koindredi M
11 B. Traore M
10 X. Shaqiri M
7 P. Otele M
23 A. Ajeti F
Bench (11)
13 M. Salvi
47 T. Pfeiffer
3 N. Vouilloz
9 J. Agbonifo
14 A. Bacanin
19 M. Soticek
21 I. Salah
22 L. Leroy
29 M. Cisse
40 A. Rexhaj
43 M. Akahomen

Coach: Stephan Lichtsteiner

Plzen

3-4-1-2
44 F. Wiegele G
40 S. Dweh D
21 V. Jemelka D
5 K. Spacil D
99 A. Memic M
32 M. Valenta M
6 L. Cerv M
14 M. Doski M
18 T. Ladra F
20 J. Panos F
19 C. Souare F
Bench (9)
13 M. Tvrdon
15 M. Silhavy
4 J. Chalupa
7 C. Kabongo
9 D. Visinsky
12 D. Suchy
33 A. Novak
34 P. Kubin
85 A. Zeljkovic

Coach: Martin Hysky

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.