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Europa League
Referee: Espen Eskas
Anderlecht
S S S T S
3–0
Full-time
Kairat Almaty
T S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Anderlecht Kairat Almaty
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
83%
33%
Points per game
2,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 25%
50%
0%
Average goals
2,8
1,5
Scored
2,0
0,5
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 5/1 matches
Win Ø 40%
80%
0%
Points per game
2,6
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 80%
60%
100%
Both score Ø 30%
60%
0%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
2,2
0,0
Conceded
0,8
3,0
Goal diff per game
+1,4
-3,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

59% Possession 41%
8 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 3
7 Corners 3
1 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

20. Aug -26 Kairat Almaty – Anderlecht 0–3

Match report

Anderlecht Kairat Almaty
18′
🟨 Damir Kasabulat
21′
🟨 Jaakko Oksanen
35′
🟨 Oiva Jukkola
1–0 M. Cvetkovic ⚽
45′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 G. Mendonsa
↦ J. Oksanen
46′
🔁 Edmilson
↦ O. Jukkola
Danylo Sikan 🟨
50′
2–0 D. Sikan ⚽
M. Kana
53′
N. Kalonji Kafumpata 🔁
↦ E. Llansana
55′
T. Degreef 🔁
↦ D. Sikan
55′
N. Ojea 🔁
↦ L. Ambros
55′
57′
🔁 A. Mrynskiy
↦ L. Mata
57′
🔁 A. Tuyakbaev
↦ M. Gual
O. Antman 🔁
↦ A. Maamar
63′
M. Winkler 🔁
↦ M. Cvetkovic
63′
71′
🔁 A. Martynovich
↦ D. Kasabulat
3–0 G. Biancone ⚽
M. Winkler
71′
86′
🟨 Lev Kurgin
Noah Kalonji 🟨
87′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Anderlecht

4-3-3
26 C. Coosemans G
79 A. Maamar D
27 L. Petrot D
4 G. Biancone D
6 L. Augustinsson D
24 E. Llansana M
55 M. Kana D
18 L. Ambros M
9 M. Cvetkovic F
14 D. Sikan F
61 J. Nga Kana M
Bench (11)
33 M. Seghers
32 J. Heekeren
62 B. Vroninks
50 K. Barry
2 Z. Keita
68 N. Kalonji Kafumpata
91 A. Bertaccini
11 O. Antman
10 M. Winkler
83 T. Degreef
53 N. Ojea

Coach: Vitor Bruno

Kairat Almaty

5-3-2
82 S. Kalmurza G
20 E. Tapalov D
4 D. Kasabulat M
8 O. Baybek M
5 L. Kurgin D
3 L. Mata D
6 A. Sadybekov M
13 J. Oksanen M
19 O. Jukkola M
28 M. Gual F
81 I. Bekbolat F
Bench (9)
1 T. Anarbekov
14 A. Martynovich
24 A. Mrynskiy
32 A. Nurgaliev
22 G. Mendonsa
27 M. Abish
17 A. Tuyakbaev
9 Edmilson
15 M. Birkurmanov

Coach: Rafael Urazbakhtin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Espen Eskas · 120 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.