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Champions League
Referee: Elcin Masiyev
FK Crvena Zvezda
S U S T S
5–0
Full-time
Larne
T U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FK Crvena Zvezda Larne
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
1,8
2,2
Scored
1,3
0,7
Conceded
0,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 1/3 matches
Win Ø 84%
100%
67%
Points per game
3,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
100%
67%
Both score Ø 17%
0%
33%
Average goals
4,0
2,7
Scored
4,0
1,0
Conceded
0,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
+4,0
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Recent head-to-head meetings

21. Jul -26 Larne – FK Crvena Zvezda 0–4

Match report

FK Crvena Zvezda Larne
1–0 A. Katai ⚽
M. Veljkovic
3′
2–0 M. Arnautovic ⚽
M. Veljkovic
45′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 P. O'Neill
↦ K. O'Hara
3–0 L. Loizou ⚽
49′
60′
🔁 L. Wallace
↦ J. McEneff
60′
🔁 J. Simpson
↦ R. Doherty
4–0 M. Arnautovic ⚽
Seol Young-Woo
60′
O. Bukari 🔁
↦ L. Loizou
63′
T. Elsnik 🔁
↦ R. Krunic
64′
N. Tiknizyan 🔁
↦ M. Strika
64′
N. Stankovic 🔁
↦ Seol Young-Woo
70′
70′
🔁 C. McKendry
↦ D. Sloan
M. Ivanic 🔁
↦ M. Abu Fani
77′
79′
🔁 M. Gibson
↦ S. Graham
5–0 O. Bukari ⚽
A. Katai
79′
Full-time 5–0

Line-ups

FK Crvena Zvezda

4-3-2-1
1 Matheus G
66 Seol Young-Woo D
30 F. Tebo Uchenna D
13 M. Veljkovic D
27 M. Strika D
75 L. Loizou M
15 M. Abu Fani M
33 R. Krunic M
10 A. Katai M
70 M. Cham M
7 M. Arnautovic F
Bench (12)
77 I. Gutesa
4 M. Ivanic
8 K. Balov
9 J. Enem
14 O. Bukari
17 Bruno Duarte
21 T. Elsnik
23 N. Tiknizyan
24 N. Stankovic
25 S. Erakovic
45 S. Gudelj
55 D. Saric

Coach: Dejan Stankovic

Larne

4-3-3
1 R. Ferguson G
23 T. Cosgrove D
26 D. Bent M
3 M. Ridley D
4 A. Donnelly D
15 R. Doherty M
6 C. Gallagher M
11 S. Graham D
25 D. Sloan M
19 K. O'Hara F
22 J. McEneff M
Bench (9)
36 D. Graham
2 L. Wallace
7 C. McKendry
9 P. O'Neill
14 B. Magee
17 J. Ukek
30 M. Lusty
45 M. Gibson
47 J. Simpson

Coach: Gary Haveron

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.