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Europa League
Referee: D Rumsas
Ararat-Armenia
S T S T U
1–0
Full-time
Universitatea Craiova
T U U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ararat-Armenia Universitatea Craiova
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,8
2,2
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 1/3 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
0%
33%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
2,0
2,3
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

49% Possession 51%
2 Shots on target 7
1 Blocked shots 4
3 Corners 7
3 Offside 3
8 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

20. Aug -26 Universitatea Craiova – Ararat-Armenia 1–1

Match report

Ararat-Armenia Universitatea Craiova
Half-time 0–0
48′
🟨 Nicușor Bancu
62′
🔁 Teles
↦ T. Baluta
Franca Carlos 🔁
↦ Benny
70′
72′
🔁 S. Nsimba
↦ A. Al Hamlawi
J. A. Balanta 🔁
↦ A. Serobyan
77′
Z. Shaghoyan 🔁
↦ Z. Banjaqui
77′
Bruno Wilson 🟨
80′
89′
🔁 M. Etim
↦ S. Baiaram
1–0 Sandro Lima ⚽
90′
A. Tera 🔁
↦ H. Oliveira
92′
M. Carlier 🔁
↦ K. Muradyan
92′
93′
🟨 Steven Nsimba
97′
🟨 Samuel Teles
Sandro Lima ❌
penalty missed
98′
Zhirayr Shaghoyan 🟨
99′
Sandro Lima 🟨
100′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Ararat-Armenia

4-3-3
98 Joao Bravim
3 Junior Julio
47 A. Malis D
43 B. R. Wilson Valdez D
16 E. Grigoryan D
2 H. Oliveira M
19 K. Muradyan M
70 Benny M
77 A. Serobyan F
91 Sandro Lima F
11 Z. Banjaqui F
Bench (12)
1 A. Nersesyan
14 B. Pereira
5 Luis Felipe
20 A. Tera
17 M. Carlier
8 J. A. Balanta
6 M. Ayvazyan
25 A. Ndour
9 A. Eloyan
90 P. Ayongo
7 Z. Shaghoyan
95 Franca Carlos

Coach: Tulipa

Universitatea Craiova

3-4-3
21 L. Popescu G
3 O. Romanchuk D
24 N. Stevanovic D
6 V. Screciu D
17 C. Mora M
8 T. Baluta M
5 A. Mekvabishvili M
11 N. Bancu M
20 A. Cicaldau F
9 A. Al Hamlawi F
10 S. Baiaram F
Bench (11)
90 R. Sava
1 A. Maxim
31 R. Webster
4 A. Cretu
23 Teles
29 L. Basceanu
30 D. Matei
19 Heriberto Tavares
7 S. Nsimba
12 M. Etim
18 M. Radulescu

Coach: Filipe Coelho

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

D Rumsas · 26 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,38 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.