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Europa League
Referee: Donatas Rumsas
Plzen
U U U S U
1–1
Full-time
Panathinaikos
S S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Plzen Panathinaikos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
1,2
2,3
Scored
0,7
1,7
Conceded
0,5
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 9/13 matches
Win Ø 32%
33%
31%
Points per game
1,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
33%
46%
Both score Ø 53%
44%
62%
Average goals
1,7
2,1
Scored
1,1
1,2
Conceded
0,6
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,6
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,95 xG 1,36
59% Possession 41%
17 Shots 10
2 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
7 Corners 3
1 Offside 2
22 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 1

Match report

Plzen Panathinaikos
9′
A. Tetteh 0–1
V. Taborda
29′
🟨 Renato Sanches
Half-time 0–1
P. Adu 🔁
↦ V. Jemelka
46′
46′
🔁 F. Djuricic
↦ A. Zaroury
60′
🟨 Anastasios Bakasetas
1–1 K. Spacil
P. Hrosovsky
62′
63′
🟨 Alban Lafont
Patrik Hrošovský 🟨
74′
76′
🔁 F. Pellistri
↦ V. Taborda
M. Vydra 🔁
↦ S. Lawal
82′
A. Sojka 🔁
↦ K. Spacil
82′
M. Valenta 🔁
↦ L. Cerv
82′
90′
🔁 A. Gnezda Cerin
↦ A. Bakasetas
91′
🔁 J. Hernandez
↦ A. Touba
94′
🟨 Ahmed Touba
96′
🟨 Davide Calabria
J. Panos 🔁
↦ T. Ladra
100′
105′
🟥 Javier Hernández
109′
🔁 K. Swiderski
↦ R. Sanches
115′
🔁 M. Pantovic
↦ A. Tetteh
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Plzen

3-4-2-1
44 F. Wiegele G
40 S. Dweh D
21 V. Jemelka D
5 K. Spacil D
99 A. Memic M
6 L. Cerv M
17 P. Hrosovsky M
18 T. Ladra M
19 C. Souare F
9 D. Visinsky F
70 S. Lawal F
Bench (9)
13 M. Tvrdon
15 M. Silhavy
4 J. Chalupa
11 M. Vydra
12 A. Sojka
20 J. Panos
32 M. Valenta
33 A. Novak
80 P. Adu

Coach: Martin Hysky

Panathinaikos

3-4-2-1
40 A. Lafont G
3 G. Katris
15 S. I. Ingason D
5 A. Touba D
2 D. Calabria M
8 R. Sanches M
11 A. Bakasetas M
77 G. Kyriakopoulos M
20 V. Taborda F
9 A. Zaroury F
7 A. Tetteh
Bench (9)
70 K. Kotsaris
71 C. Geitonas
10 S. Andino
16 A. Gnezda Cerin
19 K. Swiderski
26 J. Hernandez
28 F. Pellistri
31 F. Djuricic
72 M. Pantovic

Coach: Rafael Benitez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.